What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 3, 2016

Last week’s economic releases included reports on new and pending home sales, S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices and regularly scheduled weekly reporting on mortgage rates and weekly jobless claims. Readings on consumer sentiment and confidence were also released.

New and Pending Home Sales Lower as Peak Sales Season Winds Down

August readings for new and pending home sales were lower than for July; analysts said that slim supplies of available homes and rising home prices contributed to slower home sales. Peak home sales typically occur during spring and summer. Homebuyers with school-aged children prefer to be settled into a new home when school starts in August and September.

According to the Commerce Department, new home sales achieved their second highest reading since the Great Recession. Although lower than July’s reading, August sales of new homes reached 609,000 on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis. Analysts expected a reading of 600,000 new home sales based on July’s reading of 659.000 new homes sold. August’s reading was 20.60 percent higher year-over-year. High demand for homes appears to be kicking home builders into higher gear as they strive to ease slim inventories of available homes.

The impact of short inventories of available homes was reflected in August’s reading for pending home sales. Home sales awaiting closing fell in August from July’s reading of +1.20 percent in July to 2.40 percent in August. The National Association of Realtors® said that home sales are declining due to very limited inventories of available homes. Rapidly rising home prices and strict mortgage qualification requirements also contributed to slipping sales. After home buyers sign a purchase contract, they are at the mercy of changing mortgage rates their ability to qualify for a mortgage. Pending home sales supply an indication of future closings and mortgage loans.

According to the S&P Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index for July, home price growth dipped from June’s seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.10 percent to 5.00 percent. Slim inventories of homes for sale and high demand were again cited as primary reasons for slower home price growth. While demand is high, slim supplies of available homes can cause would-be buyers to postpone their home search until more homes are on the market.

Mortgage Rates Fall, New Jobless Claims Rise

Mortgage rates fell across the board last week according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of rates. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell six basis points to 3.42 percent; the average rate for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage was four basis points lower at 2.72 percent. 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages had an average rate of 1.81 percent, which was one basis point lower than the previous week’s reading Discount points were also lower and averaged 0.50 percent for fixed rate mortgages and 0.40 percent for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages.

New jobless claims rose last week to 254,000 claims, but new claims were lower than the expected reading of 259,000 new claims which was based on the prior week’s reading of 251,000 new jobless claims. New jobless claims have stayed below 270,000 new claims for three months for the first time since 1973.

In prepared testimony before the Financial Services Committee, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen discussed problems facing two major banks and said the Fed’s goal was managing its regulatory stance to support financial stability.

September’s Consumer Confidence Index reading rose to 104.1, which exceeded analysts’ estimated reading of 99.3 and August’s reading of 101.1.

What’s Next

Next week’s scheduled economic reports include readings on construction spending and several labor-related releases including ADP Payrolls, Non-Farm Payrolls and the National Unemployment Rates. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and new jobless claims are set for release as usual.

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$460,000

2 Beds

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2,103 SqFt

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MLS # 6680198

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Popular San Carlos model with 2 large bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, vaulted ceilings and HUGE utility/laundry room-perfect for crafting or if you need extra space & already plumbed. Kitchen has tons of cabinets w pull-out drawers, granite countertops, island, newer appliances and opens up to the large Arizona room. Skylights & solar tubes offer bright, natural light. You will love the rear, large 20' X 24' enclosed, screened patio room that offers space for entertaining or enjoying the beautiful weather. Desirable North/South exposure, situated in a cul-de-sac, corner lot in Echo Mesa area-close to Sun City West amenities and shopping! No HOA fees and low tax area!

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$460,000

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1,252 SqFt

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MLS # 6688152

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Escape to the pines in this charming property located in the Starlight Pines Community. This home was built in 2021 and ready for its new owner! As you enter the home you will see a bright and open living room, kitchen, and dining area. The kitchen has beautiful white cabinets with an island and stainless appliances. The home has neutral paint, upgraded lighting and fixtures, laminate flooring and granite countertops throughout. The inside laundry room is oversized and includes a sink with cabinets. As you enter the Primary bedroom suite you will see a separate sliding door to the back patio. The Primary bathroom has dual sinks, a walk-in tub, a linen closet, and also a walk-in closet. Don't forget about the relaxing covered patio overlooking into nature and wildlife at its best.

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8415 N 47th Drive Glendale, AZ 85302

$460,000

5 Beds

2 Baths

2,080 SqFt

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Beautify and well-kept 5-bedroom 2-bathroom home with Split Plan, Porcelain tile floors throughout, spacious living room, Dining Area, Family Rooms plus hallways. Huge pebble diving pool recent replastered, Kitchen with plenty of natural light, Double Pantries. Backyard with a covered patio. Split bedroom plan offers privacy. Close to School and I-17 Freeway and NO HOA.

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630 Ringtail Road Wickenburg, AZ 85390

$460,000

4 Beds

2 Baths

1,805 SqFt

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Welcome to your dream home nestled in the heart of Wickenburg, where modern elegance meets comfort. This stunning 4-bedroom residence boasts a perfect blend of contemporary design and timeless charm, offering an exceptional living experience. Step inside to a spacious living area that welcomes you with abundant natural light, creating an inviting ambiance for gatherings and relaxation alike. Enjoy the convenience of updated appliances in the sleek, gourmet kitchen, where culinary adventures await. Outside your oversized lot offers endless possibilities for outdoor entertainment, from al fresco dining to tranquil moments basking in the Arizona sun. Marvel at fantastic views of the mountains. Conveniently located in the heart of Wickenburg, this residence offers easy access to a wealth of amenities, including shopping, dining, arenas and entertainment options. Explore the vibrant local community and discover why Wickenburg is beloved for its small-town charm and rich western heritage. Seize the opportunity to make this exceptional property your own and experience the epitome of modern living in Wickenburg.

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