What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 3, 2016

Last week’s economic releases included reports on new and pending home sales, S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices and regularly scheduled weekly reporting on mortgage rates and weekly jobless claims. Readings on consumer sentiment and confidence were also released.

New and Pending Home Sales Lower as Peak Sales Season Winds Down

August readings for new and pending home sales were lower than for July; analysts said that slim supplies of available homes and rising home prices contributed to slower home sales. Peak home sales typically occur during spring and summer. Homebuyers with school-aged children prefer to be settled into a new home when school starts in August and September.

According to the Commerce Department, new home sales achieved their second highest reading since the Great Recession. Although lower than July’s reading, August sales of new homes reached 609,000 on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis. Analysts expected a reading of 600,000 new home sales based on July’s reading of 659.000 new homes sold. August’s reading was 20.60 percent higher year-over-year. High demand for homes appears to be kicking home builders into higher gear as they strive to ease slim inventories of available homes.

The impact of short inventories of available homes was reflected in August’s reading for pending home sales. Home sales awaiting closing fell in August from July’s reading of +1.20 percent in July to 2.40 percent in August. The National Association of Realtors® said that home sales are declining due to very limited inventories of available homes. Rapidly rising home prices and strict mortgage qualification requirements also contributed to slipping sales. After home buyers sign a purchase contract, they are at the mercy of changing mortgage rates their ability to qualify for a mortgage. Pending home sales supply an indication of future closings and mortgage loans.

According to the S&P Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index for July, home price growth dipped from June’s seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.10 percent to 5.00 percent. Slim inventories of homes for sale and high demand were again cited as primary reasons for slower home price growth. While demand is high, slim supplies of available homes can cause would-be buyers to postpone their home search until more homes are on the market.

Mortgage Rates Fall, New Jobless Claims Rise

Mortgage rates fell across the board last week according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of rates. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell six basis points to 3.42 percent; the average rate for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage was four basis points lower at 2.72 percent. 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages had an average rate of 1.81 percent, which was one basis point lower than the previous week’s reading Discount points were also lower and averaged 0.50 percent for fixed rate mortgages and 0.40 percent for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages.

New jobless claims rose last week to 254,000 claims, but new claims were lower than the expected reading of 259,000 new claims which was based on the prior week’s reading of 251,000 new jobless claims. New jobless claims have stayed below 270,000 new claims for three months for the first time since 1973.

In prepared testimony before the Financial Services Committee, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen discussed problems facing two major banks and said the Fed’s goal was managing its regulatory stance to support financial stability.

September’s Consumer Confidence Index reading rose to 104.1, which exceeded analysts’ estimated reading of 99.3 and August’s reading of 101.1.

What’s Next

Next week’s scheduled economic reports include readings on construction spending and several labor-related releases including ADP Payrolls, Non-Farm Payrolls and the National Unemployment Rates. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and new jobless claims are set for release as usual.

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15860 E Rio Verde Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$55,000,000
9 Beds
7 Baths
14,997 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6471198
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Located on approx. 237 acres on the edge of Scottsdale, this one-of-a-kind property perfectly captures the essence of the Southwest. Stunning 360-degree views combine with the peace and solitude of the Sonoran Desert to create a private oasis while all the best of Scottsdale's amenities are just minutes away. The 8,700 SF main residence is modeled after an Argentinian estancia and is grand, yet comfortable. Additional amenities include a large greenhouse and potting shed, tennis court, pool and shooting range. Additional buildings include a 1,900 SF guest house, a 1,500 SF caretakers' cottage and a 2,800 SF office/art museum. World-class equestrian facilities include a six-stall stable, 16-stall mare motel, numerous corrals, pastures and several outbuildings. Plentiful water with two

20568 N 112th Street Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$32,000,000
7 Beds
10 Baths
17,267 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6413286
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
A Dream Team Comes Together Like a Symphony to Create a Custom Estate That is a Work of Art, introducing Ellington Heights in Silverleaf''There is no art when one does something without intention.'' -- Duke Ellington.Without a doubt the King of Jazz would consider Ellington Heights--a sleek and stylish gem--a superb work of art. Nestled in the sun-kissed upper canyon of Silverleaf, an exclusive enclave in Scottsdale, Arizona, the design for this magnificent estate collected inspiration from the social, artistic and cultural dynamism of the Roaring Twenties era. Further, the design journey for this modern desert prairie-style home, included finding perfect harmony with its Sonoran surroundings.(see 'more' now)

7265 N 40th Street Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$30,600,000
5 Beds
7 Baths
18,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6346005
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Amethyst is the crown jewel of Crown Canyon situated above all other homesites. This 5 acre parcel awaits an architectural masterpiece to capture the most prolific views in the community. The experienced team at BedBrock Developers is prepared to fully design and build your custom dream home on this impressive mountain hillside. In-house architect Stratton Andrews has designed an 18,000 square foot showcase home custom to this lot demonstrating the endless possibilities within this homesite.''The breathtaking Amethyst homesite itself ignited the inspiration for this architectural masterpiece. The design flows with the topography allowing 270 degree views of the valley, Camelback Mountain and Piestewa Peak, while immersing the homeowner in the natural beauty of the desert'' says the

5247 N Invergordon Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$30,000,000
7 Beds
13 Baths
13,364 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6447698
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Introducing ''The Royal Chateau'', an exquisitely remodeled estate (completed May 2022)! Boasting 7 bedrooms, 13 bathrooms with sweeping views of Camelback Mountain, this home is sure to please with only the highest level of finishes. The main residence offers nearly 10,000 sf of luxury interior living with 2 separate guest houses. This custom residence includes a custom 600 Bottle Wine Cellar, 7 Car Garages w/ AC, Chef's Kitchen w/ Dual Sinks, custom built-in Subzero Fridge & Freezer, and large walk-in pantry with appliances. Featuring a state-of-the-art home theater, home office with views of Camelback, parlor with wet bar & custom woodwork throughout the entire home. Guests may stay in either of the 2 guest casitas and enjoy the several outdoor entertaining areas throughout the property

20958 N 112th Street Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$28,000,000
7 Beds
8 Baths
13,617 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6375239
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Welcome to ''The Aerie'', perched high in the McDowell Mountains in Scottdale's most exclusive community of Silverleaf sits this one of a kind masterpiece with unmatched views of the valley below. Thoughtfully designed by Erik Peterson of PHX Architecture and built with the ultimate in perfection by Paragon Custom Homes into a true work of art, this brand new desert contemporary home is an amazing estate. From the open great room which leads to the designer kitchen and hidden catering kitchen to the thoughtfully designed entertainment zone, and the palatial master wing this home has it all. Embodying a true indoor outdoor lifestyle, entertaining spaces flow to the beautiful outdoors all with amazing views of the valley below.

11235 E Wingspan Way Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$24,220,000
6 Beds
8.5 Baths
11,556 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6362093
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
An artful masterpiece, this stunning estate was recently completed in July of 2021 by Salcito Custom Homes. Grandly positioned on 4.67 acres on one of the best homesites in Silverleaf, this home sits prominently in the iconic ''saddle'' of the Upper Canyon Summit in Silverleaf. Exuding warmth and sophistication with a unique French Modern style and architecture thoughtfully designed by Dale Gardon, this regal home captures the spectacular views of the Silverleaf Golf Course and the Valley throughout the home. The garages are perfect for a car collector with capacity for 11 cars. The superb interiors, designed in collaboration with Rebecca Salcito feature distinctive elements such as a fireplace carved from marble to hand-blown glass chandeliers, custom artwork

6044 N 44th Place Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$22,500,000
4 Beds
7 Baths
10,656 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6378747
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Welcome to this one of a kind single level HILLTOP estate with 360 degree views- As you enter the gated circular drive and approach the spectacular entry foyer you'll be amazed by the height of the ceilings and walls of glass overlooking city & mountain views, resort sized living room, generous use of stone, marble and slab granite throughout, beautiful warm and timeless finishes. formal dining room with city views , complete bar w ice maker/dishwasher, 10 ft burled redwood doors and cabinetry throughout, West Wing features -Powder room, Luxurious primary suite with coffee bar, unreal views, 2 baths with 2 large paneled closets, granite showers, fireplace , study with wood paneled ceilings, bookshelves and workroom, 1000 sq foot gym- w bath & closet- serves as multi purpose,

11269 E Moonlight Canyon -- Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$21,500,000
7 Beds
9 Baths
11,530 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6384286
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Renowned architect Bing Hu is creating a masterpiece in the Upper Canyon of the prestigious and highly acclaimed Silverleaf community. This 11,530 SF estate is a modern adaptation of the Prairie style of architecture, perfectly situated sitting on the high foothills of the McDowell Mountains with panoramic city lights, mountain and valley views. The superb quality of the finishes and the amenities included are sure to please the most discerning, certainly everything you'd expect in a home of this stature: green building materials and technologies, state of the art automation throughout, Sonos Surround Sound entertainment theater, Gaggenau ''Art of the Kitchen'' custom creation and more. Added opportunity is the GOLF MEMBERSHIP AVAILABLE with this home. Creating a masterpiece

10719 E Rimrock Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$21,200,000
6 Beds
8 Baths
13,114 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6455254
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
You may obtain a Silverleaf Golf Membership through this purchase. Warm and welcoming, nestled on a flat pad, not on a steep-driveway or below street-grade. The motor court, detached guest home, front and rear yard, all flow without any elevation changes. Secondary rooms, second wet bar and additional flex rooms live above. Perched on McDowell Mountains, offering an exclusive 'front row seat elevation' to the spectacular sprawling and vibrant golf course, twinkling city lights, plus captivating near/far mountain views. Flawlessly crafted and meticulously maintained by valley's renowned luxury home builder, Desert Star Construction. This signature address encompasses over 9 acres; 13,111 square feet of living space to including 1,789 SF (2 bedroom) guest home.

5724 E Mockingbird Lane Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$19,999,888
7 Beds
9 Baths
14,801 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6408372
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Experience this incredible brand-new residence, meticulously crafted on 5 acres, which will be one of the most significant estates built in Paradise Valley. This spectacular property will offer a split, single level floor plan, lush & mature manicured grounds, impeccable finishes and design throughout in one of Paradise Valley's most expensive locations! Enjoy the world class amenities, indoor and outdoor lifestyle, pool, spa, ramada, tennis court and never before seen features in a home with the iconic view of Mummy Mountain as the backdrop. Located in the highly desirable 3 C's school district, also featuring a 11 car garage for auto collectors. This is Arizona's most prestigious presale opportunity.

4228 E Highlands Drive Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$19,500,000
4 Beds
5.5 Baths
8,577 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6466779
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS HILLSIDE ESTATE! This contemporary beauty sits on 1.25 acres with unobstructed views, stretchingfrom Camelback Mountain to the Phoenix city skyline and beyond. Located high upon the Phoenix Mountain preserve, you can take in the unbelievable panoramic views from every room. The captivating garden courtyard features a large Koi pond, turf area and serene waterfall. The spacious floor plan boosts oversized windows and high ceilings to allow in the natural light. Entertain your guests on the extended balcony's that create indoor/outdoor living and overlooks the infinity pool and spa,. Relax in the master suite with Spa like bath. Property includes a spacious guest casita and is centrally located for hiking ,biking and all the most popular dining/shopping

11264 E Wingspan Way Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$18,500,000
5 Beds
6 Baths
9,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6463142
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Located in the prestigious Summit neighborhood of Silverleaf, this team of master craftsman, Salcito Custom Homes, Ltd., Salcito Design Group, LLC and PHX Architecture have partnered to create a one-of-a-kind Modern Mediterranean estate. Situated on one of the most private building sites in Silverleaf, this estate boasts a 5.59-acre homesite with a 40,000 square foot building envelope and sits high over the Valley at an elevation of 2,400 ft., capturing stunning city and mountain views. This one-of-a-kind opportunity is fully approved and ready to begin construction. The 9,000 square foot design features five bedrooms and six baths, a 75-foot swimming pool, six car garage, unique skybridge and hand selected finishes that will satisfy the most discriminating buyer.

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