3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble

With housing prices appreciating at levels that far exceed historical norms, some are fearful that the market is heading for another bubble. To alleviate that fear, we just need to look back at the reasons that caused the bubble ten years ago.

Last decade, demand for housing was artificially propped up because mortgage lending standards were way too lenient. People that were not qualified to purchase were able to attain a mortgage anyway. Prices began to skyrocket. This increase in demand caused homebuilders in many markets to overbuild.

Eventually, the excess in new construction and the flooding of the market with distressed properties (foreclosures & short sales), caused by the lack of appropriate lending standards, led to the housing crash.

Where we are today…

1. If we look at lending standards based on the Mortgage Credit Availability Index released monthly by the Mortgage Bankers Association, we can see that, though standards have become more reasonable over the last few years, they are nowhere near where they were in the early 2000s.

2. If we look at new construction, we can see that builders are not “over building.” Average annual housing starts in the first quarter of this year were not just below numbers recorded in 2002-2006, they are below starts going all the way back to 1980.

3. If we look at home prices, most homes haven’t even returned to prices seen a decade ago. Trulia just released a report that explained:

“When it comes to the value of individual homes, the U.S. housing market has yet to recover. In fact, just 34.2% of homes nationally have seen their value surpass their pre-recession peak.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage lending standards are appropriate, new construction is below what is necessary and home prices haven’t even recovered. It appears fears of a housing bubble are over-exaggerated.  Give me a call to discuss the current market and how it affects you – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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10804 W Cottontail Lane Peoria, AZ 85383

$475,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,889 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6687334

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome home in the desirable Tierra Del Rio subdivision! This charming 3 bed, 2 bath residence boasts a den and a bonus room off the master bedroom, perfect for a home office or gym. Enjoy gatherings in the spacious eat-in kitchen with granite countertops, island and family room. Step outside to your private backyard featuring a covered patio, a built-in BBQ synthetic grass and cozy fire pit. With a 2-car garage and proximity to shopping, schools, TSMC factory, and freeway access, this home offers both functionality and convenience. Don't miss the chance to make this your forever home!

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4525 N 66th Street Scottsdale, AZ 85251

$475,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,962 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6620593

Property Type Townhouse

Price Type --

Welcome to your new home in a prime Scottsdale location. This three-bed, two-bath townhouse has BRAND NEW LVP flooring throughout, is light and bright, and offers a great floorplan. With 1,962 square feet and an open-concept layout, you have ample space to relax and entertain. The property boasts a larger lot in the community, ensuring privacy & tranquility with the added luxury of no neighbors behind. This gated community offers exclusive amenities, including three community pools, a clubhouse, a workout facility, and a tennis court. Take advantage of the Arizona sunshine & cool off in one of the sparkling pools, or challenge friends & family to a friendly game of tennis. Located within walking distance to Old Town Scottsdale, you'll have access to some of the best dining, shopping, and entertainment the city has to offer. Fashion Square Mall is also just a short stroll away, providing endless shopping opportunities. If you enjoy the outdoors and hiking, Camelback Mountain is just minutes away! With short-term rentals allowed, this property offers the potential for a lucrative investment opportunity. Whether you're looking for a stunning primary residence or a profitable rental property, this townhouse is the perfect choice. Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity - schedule a viewing today and make this beautiful townhouse your new home or investment property!

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24454 N 173rd Lane Surprise, AZ 85387

$475,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,492 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6645241

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Experience the epitome of comfort and style in this exquisite 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom former model home, spanning 1,492 square feet in a gated retirement community. As you step inside, the home welcomes you with its elegant tile flooring, extending throughout the living spaces, while plush carpeting in the bedrooms adds a touch of warmth and comfort. The home's thoughtful design includes a convenient laundry area connected to the primary bedroom's spacious closet, ensuring ease and efficiency. Two car garage with AC. Step outside to the backyard patio with fresh epoxy floor, built in overhead misters for the summers and be captivated by serene lake views, offering a tranquil backdrop for relaxation or entertaining. The community doesn't fall short on amenities, boasting a resort-style pool, pickleball, bocce ball, a mini putt course, and a fitness/recreation centers. The home's eco-friendly approach is highlighted by a tankless water heater, providing endless hot water while conserving energy. This home is more than just a residence; it's a gateway to a life of luxury and leisure, perfectly suited for those seeking a peaceful yet active retirement.

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4727 E Euclid Avenue Phoenix, AZ 85044

$475,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,596 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6650274

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Charming Patio Home in The Pointe South Mountain Nestled in a peaceful cul-de-sac with breathtaking mountain views, this attractively priced patio home in the sought-after ''Resort Style Community'' of The Pointe South Mountain awaits you. Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this 3 bedroom, 2 bath residence. The family room, adorned with a distinctive bee hive fireplace, flows seamlessly into a cozy living room and dining area. The home features a speakeasy, den and a spacious 2-car garage, all set against the stunning backdrop of South Mountain Preserve and the lush Arizona Grand Golf Course. Just around the corner from the Pima Canyon Trailhead. It's your personal resort oasis. Embrace an active lifestyle with community pools/spas, and endless hiking/biking trails right at your doorstep. Golf enthusiasts will love the proximity to the golf course. This unique neighborhood is just minutes from Sky Harbor Airport, major freeways, and a plethora of shopping centers. Downtown Phoenix, ASU, and much more are easily accessible. Don't miss this opportunity for a serene lifestyle in a prime location. Easy to show - your new home awaits!

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18712 W Georgia Avenue Litchfield Park, AZ 85340

$475,000

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,140 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6678570

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to the beautiful community of Zanjero Trails, featuring real grass, parks and trees, top schools zoning, with easy access to the I-10 or 303. Close to Grocery, gas, dining, coffee shops and more. As you step inside, the spacious entryway with tray ceilings and Luxury Vinyl Plank Flooring are sure to impress. Enjoy the open concept living with grand living room, dining off kitchen where you'll love the massive 10' Island, custom tile backsplash, and quartz counters. A custom accent wall adds charm, while the nearby office with French doors offers a quiet workspace. The owner's suite boasts dual square sinks, a garden tub, and a large shower. Every bedroom includes a walk-in closet for ample storage and ceiling fans. Step out into your finished backyard, north facing for ample shade with an oversized covered patio, completed with custom turf and pavers, gazebo, firepit, mountain views and a 4' side gate creating extra space between your only neighbor as you are on the coveted corner lot. You'll love the 3-car tandem garage for all your toys, bikes and golf cart, plus overhear storage for seasonal items and luggage in between your worldly travels .

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5537 S Marble Drive Gold Canyon, AZ 85118

$475,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,675 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6673822

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Check out this 3 bed, 2 bath COMPLETELY REMODELED home on a corner lot! Walk into an open concept floor plan w/ a BRAND NEW Kitchen that includes White Kitchen Cabinetry w/ gold pulls, quartz countertops, Stainless Steel Appliances & a HUGE Island. Enjoy the mountain views of the back patio, w/ no neighbors behind. The oversized primary suite has a walk-in closet, soaking tub, tiled walk-in shower & modern vanity. The guest bathroom features double sinks, upgraded fixtures & a tiled walk-in shower. Home is punctuated w/ luxury vinyl planks throughout. Property is walking distance to the fitness center 2 pools, hobby rooms, computer lab, library, billiards, ballroom, 18-hole Mountain Brook Championship Golf Course. two pools, hobby rooms, a computer lab, library, billiards, ballroom, Tennis, pickleball, & bocce ball courts. Make your appointment today!

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1843 E Anchor Drive Gilbert, AZ 85234

$475,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,488 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6681758

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Location! Location! Location! This very well taken care of one-owner home in the desirable Val Vista Lakes community boasts 3 bdrms, 2 bathrooms, plus a family room and a bonus room that can be used as an office, den, or pool table room! The open floor plan has a spacious kitchen with eating area plus a peninsula for barstool seating and a huge walk-in pantry! The mstr bdrm includes his and hers separate closets, dual vanities in the bathroom and a private toilet area, along with french doors out to the backyard! One guest bdrm also has a walk-in closet. The 2-car garage includes tons of storage cabinets. The backyard has a large grass play area and a large side yard to store all your toys! The extra-long driveway is also a huge plus. The amenities at Val Vista Lakes include 4 spacious... sports parks, meandering bicycle paths, and a luxurious clubhouse. The clubhouse features an eight-court championship tennis complex, indoor racquetball courts, cardio and weight training facilities, junior Olympic swimming pool and spa, banquet and meeting rooms, waterfalls and a tropical lagoon swimming pool with a sandy beach. A great place to call home!

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10705 E Champagne Drive Sun Lakes, AZ 85248

$475,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,641 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6684434

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

This beautiful home is located close to the Clubhouse, community pool and lake. Newer HVAC unit, plantation shutters and some updated flooring.

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1924 E Monte Vista Road Phoenix, AZ 85006

$475,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,089 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6693409

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

In 1935, amidst the dust storms and Great Depression, one resilient home emerged from the arid landscapes of the American Southwest: the Adobe Home. Step into the timeless allure of Southwest living with this captivating Adobe Home, a masterpiece of rustic elegance nestled in the heart of Downtown Phoenix. Built in 1935, this meticulously maintained residence seamlessly blends historic charm with modern comfort. The thoughtfully designed floor plan encompasses 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The kitchen, adorned with hand-painted cabinets and equipped with modern appliances. Perfect for culinary adventures inspired by the flavors of the Southwest. Don't miss your chance to own a piece of history in this iconic Adobe Home.

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9641 E Indiana Avenue Sun Lakes, AZ 85248

Open House

New

$475,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,409 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6695852

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Let's be honest ... there are a lot of newly remodeled homes available in Sun Lakes. I've just reviewed all 73 currently ACTIVE listings in the entire community and there are NONE with a back yard like this one! Choosing to purchase this home would be like moving into a new build, but with the benefit of an INCREDIBLY RELAXING landscaped yard on a private, corner lot in a well-established neighborhood. Whether you're a winter visitor or full-time resident, you'll love living in THIS remodeled home. Now let's talk about the other good stuff. This 2 bd/2 ba model is on the smaller side of those offered in Sun Lakes, but at only 1409 sf, the floor plan feels spacious and functional. You won't need any more square-footage. Three skylights and large picture windows throughout add to the open feel. Some highlights of the remodel include all new wood-look laminate flooring (no carpet anywhere), new baseboards, new interior paint, new ceiling fans and light fixtures in every room, new kitchen cabinets w/Quartz countertop and backsplash, new LG S/S appliances, a newer A/C, a new roof and gorgeous new bathrooms to include a curbless shower in the primary bath. Rather than list them all here, please refer to the DOCUMENTS tab for a complete list of the room-by-room features. The 50+ photos attached will take you on a digital tour that is sure to entice you into a personal visit. This new listing will officially kick off on Sunday, April 28. Thanks for stopping by!

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8551 W Monona Lane Peoria, AZ 85382

Open House

$475,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,527 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6695519

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to the perfect haven of comfort and style! Begin your exploration in the spacious kitchen sporting a tastefully done, attractive accent backsplash complemented by all stainless steel appliances for your culinary adventures. To make your cooking experience even more convenient, a kitchen island is added to provide ample preparation space and continuity in the kitchen layout. The home's fresh interior paint with a neutral color scheme lends an inviting ambiance, enhancing the overall aesthetic appeal while providing the perfect canvas for your furniture and decor. Feast your eyes on this charming property, where each detail reflects thoughtful planning aimed at catering to homeowners who appreciate a blend of style, elegance, and efficiency. This exquisite property is your home!

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300 W Nopal Place Chandler, AZ 85225

Open House

New

$475,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,441 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6696855

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Welcome to this charming home nestled on a large corner lot! Providing 3 beds, 2 baths, RV gate, low-care landscape, & 2-carport parking w/extended driveway. Inviting interior showcases tons of natural light, designer paint, tile flooring in common areas, and wood-look flooring in bedrooms. Perfect for gatherings, this gem boasts a formal living room and an open layout paired w/fireplace & French doors to the back! The fully equipped kitchen has granite counters, subway tile backsplash, recessed & pendant lighting, and an island w/breakfast bar. Large main bedroom offers a private bathroom & two closets. If entertaining is on your mind, the spacious backyard awaits! With mature trees, a covered patio, natural grass, & a diving pool, this space promises year-round enjoyment. Move-in ready!

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