3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble

With housing prices appreciating at levels that far exceed historical norms, some are fearful that the market is heading for another bubble. To alleviate that fear, we just need to look back at the reasons that caused the bubble ten years ago.

Last decade, demand for housing was artificially propped up because mortgage lending standards were way too lenient. People that were not qualified to purchase were able to attain a mortgage anyway. Prices began to skyrocket. This increase in demand caused homebuilders in many markets to overbuild.

Eventually, the excess in new construction and the flooding of the market with distressed properties (foreclosures & short sales), caused by the lack of appropriate lending standards, led to the housing crash.

Where we are today…

1. If we look at lending standards based on the Mortgage Credit Availability Index released monthly by the Mortgage Bankers Association, we can see that, though standards have become more reasonable over the last few years, they are nowhere near where they were in the early 2000s.

2. If we look at new construction, we can see that builders are not “over building.” Average annual housing starts in the first quarter of this year were not just below numbers recorded in 2002-2006, they are below starts going all the way back to 1980.

3. If we look at home prices, most homes haven’t even returned to prices seen a decade ago. Trulia just released a report that explained:

“When it comes to the value of individual homes, the U.S. housing market has yet to recover. In fact, just 34.2% of homes nationally have seen their value surpass their pre-recession peak.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage lending standards are appropriate, new construction is below what is necessary and home prices haven’t even recovered. It appears fears of a housing bubble are over-exaggerated.  Give me a call to discuss the current market and how it affects you – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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17410 W Fulton Street Goodyear, AZ 85338

New

$467,120

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

1,939 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6696778

Property Type Single Family Residence

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Welcome to El Cidro, where luxury living meets vibrant outdoor spaces. Our home features a spacious three-car garage, ideal for storage and convenience. Inside, discover a deluxe gourmet kitchen and a laundry room with ample storage. Offering spacious backyards and a wonderful community park with picnic tables, a basketball court, and two playgrounds. Gather with neighbors for picnics, games, and leisurely strolls along scenic pathways. Experience the perfect blend of modern comforts and natural beauty in our welcoming community. Welcome home.

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792 E Cowboy Cove Trail San Tan Valley, AZ 85143

$467,000

4 Beds

2.5 Baths

2,879 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6660207

Property Type Single Family Residence

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Discover this exquisite 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom energy-efficient residence nestled in the charming Johnson Ranch. As you step inside, a grand formal living room welcomes you with neutral paint, 2-inch blinds, and luxurious vinyl plank flooring. The family room seamlessly connects to the kitchen, creating an ideal space for entertaining. The gourmet kitchen is a highlight, featuring stainless steel appliances with wall ovens, granite counters, glass backsplash, a pantry, recessed lighting, ample white cabinets, and a two-tier island with a breakfast bar. Upstairs, all bedrooms and a generously-sized loft await. The main bedroom, accessible through double doors, boasts an ensuite with dual sinks and a walk-in closet. Enjoy the expansive backyard with a blend of artificial and natural gras

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6219 S Vista Point Drive Gold Canyon, AZ 85118

$467,000

3 Beds

2.5 Baths

1,763 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6627830

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

SPECTACULAR SUPERSTITION MOUNTAIN VIEWS to enjoy from the UPDATED & TRANQUIL BACKYARD that has pavers, retractable awning, MISTING SYSTEM, Pergola w/ceiling fan, built-in GAS BBQ GRILL with GRANITE counter top.! Perfect for entertaining or just relaxing and taking in the BREATHTAKING SUNSETS! Inside you will find a BEAUTIFUL UPDATED KITCHEN with GRANITE COUNTERS, breakfast bar, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES & Pantry which overlooks the dining area. TOP OF THE LINE GE front load WASHER & DRYER, ALL NEW TOILETS, NEW WATER HEATER, NEWER HVAC, NEW VINYL WOOD LOOK FLOORING on steps and in the 3 upstairs bedrooms. Master has full bath & double sinks. Downstairs has tile floors & SPACIOUS GREAT ROOM! Extra storage under the steps. Located just steps away from the HEATED COMMUNITY POOL & SPA!! This is a GATED COMMUNITY located across from the popular GOLD CANYON GOLF COURSE which offers TWO 18 hole CHAMPIONSHIP GOLF COURSES, the SIDEWINDER AND DINOSAUR!!

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1321 E Weatherby Way Chandler, AZ 85286

$467,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,434 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6680168

Property Type Single Family Residence

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Welcome to this 1434 sq feet, 3BRs/2 Bath Gem in the Highly sought after Gated community of La Paloma. This house has been tremendously taken care of and it shows as soon as you walk in. Most of the home has been Newly Painted AND Brand Spanking New Vinyl Flooring has been installed in all the right places. Kitchen offers Granite countertops, attractive Backslash, and Stainless Steel Appliances. Backyard is an outdoor persons' Dream with Mimumum upkeep possessing Turf and Pavers. What more do I need to Say!

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