3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble

With housing prices appreciating at levels that far exceed historical norms, some are fearful that the market is heading for another bubble. To alleviate that fear, we just need to look back at the reasons that caused the bubble ten years ago.

Last decade, demand for housing was artificially propped up because mortgage lending standards were way too lenient. People that were not qualified to purchase were able to attain a mortgage anyway. Prices began to skyrocket. This increase in demand caused homebuilders in many markets to overbuild.

Eventually, the excess in new construction and the flooding of the market with distressed properties (foreclosures & short sales), caused by the lack of appropriate lending standards, led to the housing crash.

Where we are today…

1. If we look at lending standards based on the Mortgage Credit Availability Index released monthly by the Mortgage Bankers Association, we can see that, though standards have become more reasonable over the last few years, they are nowhere near where they were in the early 2000s.

2. If we look at new construction, we can see that builders are not “over building.” Average annual housing starts in the first quarter of this year were not just below numbers recorded in 2002-2006, they are below starts going all the way back to 1980.

3. If we look at home prices, most homes haven’t even returned to prices seen a decade ago. Trulia just released a report that explained:

“When it comes to the value of individual homes, the U.S. housing market has yet to recover. In fact, just 34.2% of homes nationally have seen their value surpass their pre-recession peak.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage lending standards are appropriate, new construction is below what is necessary and home prices haven’t even recovered. It appears fears of a housing bubble are over-exaggerated.  Give me a call to discuss the current market and how it affects you – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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18983 N 259th Lane Buckeye, AZ 85396

New

$459,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,569 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6694613

Property Type Single Family Residence

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Better than New, immaculate Hideaway Model with Smart Home Features. 2-bed/2-bath, split floor plan w/ upgraded plank tile flooring and ''leather'' granite countertops. Designer light fixtures & custom window treatments. Open concept living offers plenty of room for dining & entertaining. Extended height, soft close cabinets, SS appliances & walk-in pantry. The spacious primary bedroom has a large bathroom, dual sinks, walk in shower & walk-in closet. Charming guest bedroom w/adjacent bath. Enjoy the beautiful landscape from the extended back patio with privacy wall and pavers. 2 car garage with tandem 4ft extension, great for a golf cart, or additional storage. Additional features: Soft water system, tankless water heater, security door, additional iron fencing with gate access on both sides of the house. Front & backyard pavers & drip system for landscaping. Sun City Festival is an active adult community with plenty of activities. Complete gym, pickleball court, group classes, 27-hole golf course, 2 resort-style pools, onsite rec center, walking trails, and an indoor walking track. Don't miss the opportunity, come see this home today.

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8723 E Sandtrap Court Gold Canyon, AZ 85118

$459,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,812 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6553229

Property Type Townhouse

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Price reduction and seller willing to do below market rate seller financing. Contact agent for details. Welcome to this beautiful 2-bed, 2-bath Townhome in the gated Fairway Views! A paver courtyard and a 2-car garage w/attached cabinets are just the beginning. Inside the previous owner completely remodeled the interior of this home in 2021. New vinyl flooring, interior paint, custom Stone Creek cabinets in kitchen, bathrooms, laundry, and dry bar. New quartz countertops with travertine backsplash, baseboards, doors, custom showers and bathtub, new water heater/RO/water softner and Pella sliding doors. New light fixtures/fans, faucets and supply lines, Whirlpool print resistant appliances, Zephyr wine and beverage cooler with separate temperature settings and lots more! Home has desirable open layout, layered crown molding, a skylight, neutral paint and tons of natural light. Master bedroom has backyard access and an ensuite with dual sinks, travertine step-in shower, & a walk-in closet. Secondary bedroom also includes a private bathroom for added comfort. Enjoy the private backyard offering a covered patio, pavers, built-in BBQ, & exterior fireplace for chilly nights! You MUST see it!

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3007 E Woodland Drive Phoenix, AZ 85048

$459,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,242 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6614031

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

NEW ROOF March 2024! Welcome to Mountain Park Ranch! This gem won't be around long, so be sure to plan your visit today! The seller has taken great care and added many improvements such as the kitchen renovation in 2017, the master bathroom remodel was completed in 2023, and the exterior was painted in 2020! The property is North/South facing, has an RV gate, is a corner lot and nearby the 202 freeway for an easy commute! The community offers lakes, parks, walking paths, there are multiple community pools nearby, and the house is kitty corner from Vista Canyon Park! There is plenty of shopping nearby such as Trader Joes, Dutch Brothers, Starbucks, Frys grocery store along with plenty of dining options!

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12002 N Rio Vista Drive Sun City, AZ 85351

$459,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,999 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6629615

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

WELCOME HOME TO THIS BEAUTIFULLY REMODELED TWO BEDROOM TWO BATH HOME. LOOKIG FOR AN ENTERTAINER'S KITCHEN BOASTS GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, UPDATED APPLIANCES, INDUCTION STOVE TOP, TONS OF STORAGE, KNOTTY ALDER CABINETS. THE BATHROOMS HAVE BEEN UPDATED WITH BEAUTIFUL WALK IN TILE SHOWERS. ENJOY THE BEAUTIFUL GOLF COURSE VIEWS AND SUNSETS IN YOUR SCREENED IN PATIO. ALL MAJOR TICKET ITEMS HAVE BEEN REPLACED WITHIN THE LAST 3 YEARS.

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