3 Reasons the Housing Market is NOT in a Bubble

With housing prices appreciating at levels that far exceed historical norms, some are fearful that the market is heading for another bubble. To alleviate that fear, we just need to look back at the reasons that caused the bubble ten years ago.

Last decade, demand for housing was artificially propped up because mortgage lending standards were way too lenient. People that were not qualified to purchase were able to attain a mortgage anyway. Prices began to skyrocket. This increase in demand caused homebuilders in many markets to overbuild.

Eventually, the excess in new construction and the flooding of the market with distressed properties (foreclosures & short sales), caused by the lack of appropriate lending standards, led to the housing crash.

Where we are today…

1. If we look at lending standards based on the Mortgage Credit Availability Index released monthly by the Mortgage Bankers Association, we can see that, though standards have become more reasonable over the last few years, they are nowhere near where they were in the early 2000s.

2. If we look at new construction, we can see that builders are not “over building.” Average annual housing starts in the first quarter of this year were not just below numbers recorded in 2002-2006, they are below starts going all the way back to 1980.

3. If we look at home prices, most homes haven’t even returned to prices seen a decade ago. Trulia just released a report that explained:

“When it comes to the value of individual homes, the U.S. housing market has yet to recover. In fact, just 34.2% of homes nationally have seen their value surpass their pre-recession peak.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage lending standards are appropriate, new construction is below what is necessary and home prices haven’t even recovered. It appears fears of a housing bubble are over-exaggerated.  Give me a call to discuss the current market and how it affects you – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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20603 N Echo Mesa Drive Sun City West, AZ 85375

$460,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

2,103 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6680198

Property Type Single Family Residence

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Popular San Carlos model with 2 large bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, vaulted ceilings and HUGE utility/laundry room-perfect for crafting or if you need extra space & already plumbed. Kitchen has tons of cabinets w pull-out drawers, granite countertops, island, newer appliances and opens up to the large Arizona room. Skylights & solar tubes offer bright, natural light. You will love the rear, large 20' X 24' enclosed, screened patio room that offers space for entertaining or enjoying the beautiful weather. Desirable North/South exposure, situated in a cul-de-sac, corner lot in Echo Mesa area-close to Sun City West amenities and shopping! No HOA fees and low tax area!

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2813 Hidden Creek Circle Happy Jack, AZ 86024

$460,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,252 SqFt

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MLS # 6688152

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Escape to the pines in this charming property located in the Starlight Pines Community. This home was built in 2021 and ready for its new owner! As you enter the home you will see a bright and open living room, kitchen, and dining area. The kitchen has beautiful white cabinets with an island and stainless appliances. The home has neutral paint, upgraded lighting and fixtures, laminate flooring and granite countertops throughout. The inside laundry room is oversized and includes a sink with cabinets. As you enter the Primary bedroom suite you will see a separate sliding door to the back patio. The Primary bathroom has dual sinks, a walk-in tub, a linen closet, and also a walk-in closet. Don't forget about the relaxing covered patio overlooking into nature and wildlife at its best.

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8415 N 47th Drive Glendale, AZ 85302

$460,000

5 Beds

2 Baths

2,080 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6683949

Property Type Single Family Residence

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Beautify and well-kept 5-bedroom 2-bathroom home with Split Plan, Porcelain tile floors throughout, spacious living room, Dining Area, Family Rooms plus hallways. Huge pebble diving pool recent replastered, Kitchen with plenty of natural light, Double Pantries. Backyard with a covered patio. Split bedroom plan offers privacy. Close to School and I-17 Freeway and NO HOA.

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630 Ringtail Road Wickenburg, AZ 85390

$460,000

4 Beds

2 Baths

1,805 SqFt

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MLS # 6686092

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Welcome to your dream home nestled in the heart of Wickenburg, where modern elegance meets comfort. This stunning 4-bedroom residence boasts a perfect blend of contemporary design and timeless charm, offering an exceptional living experience. Step inside to a spacious living area that welcomes you with abundant natural light, creating an inviting ambiance for gatherings and relaxation alike. Enjoy the convenience of updated appliances in the sleek, gourmet kitchen, where culinary adventures await. Outside your oversized lot offers endless possibilities for outdoor entertainment, from al fresco dining to tranquil moments basking in the Arizona sun. Marvel at fantastic views of the mountains. Conveniently located in the heart of Wickenburg, this residence offers easy access to a wealth of amenities, including shopping, dining, arenas and entertainment options. Explore the vibrant local community and discover why Wickenburg is beloved for its small-town charm and rich western heritage. Seize the opportunity to make this exceptional property your own and experience the epitome of modern living in Wickenburg.

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