What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – November 21, 2016

Last week’s economic reports included readings on the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index, Commerce Department releases on Housing Starts and Building Permits issued and weekly reports on new jobless claims and mortgage rates.

Builder Sentiment Holds Steady, Demand for Homes Pushes Builders

November’s reading for the National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index held steady with a reading of 65. Any reading above 50 indicates that a majority of home builders surveyed has a positive view of current and future housing market conditions. Tight supplies of available homes, steep competition for homes in desirable metro areas and rising home prices pressure home builders to produce more homes, but builder sentiment and housing starts are not always aligned, but data released by the Commerce Department indicates that builders are ramping up construction.

The Commerce Department reported that October’s reading of 1.323 housing starts exceeded September’s reading of 1.054 million starts and also surpassed the expected reading of 1.170 million starts. This suggests that builders are ramping up construction to quench ongoing demand for homes. October’s reading was 25.50 percent higher than September’s reading, which was the highest number of housing starts posted since 2007. Starts for multi-family homes of five units or more jumped 75 percent and starts for single family homes of four units or less increased by 11 percent.

Building permits issued in October rose to 1.229 million as compared to September’s reading of 1.225 million permits issued. Approaching winter weather and holidays typically cause slowing of construction.

Mortgage Rates Rise after Election

Last week’s survey of mortgage rates was mostly completed by the time presidential election results were released; this week’s readings showed higher rates for all types of mortgages. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage increased from 3.57 percent to 3.94 percent; rates for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage rose from 2.88 to 3.14 percent and the average rate for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages was also higher at 3.07 percent as compared to the prior week’s reading of 2.88 percent. Discount points were unchanged at 0.50 percent for fixed rate mortgages and 0.40 percent for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages. Low mortgage rates have helped home buyers qualify for financing they need to buy homes; if rates continue to trend upward, demand for homes is likely to ease.

New jobless claims reached a 43-year low last week. 235,000 claims were filed as compared to expectations of 255,000 new claims and the prior week’s reading of 254,000 new jobless claims. Low layoff rates point to stronger economic conditions; job stability can encourage first-time home buyers to enter the market and existing home owners to buy larger homes.

What’s Ahead

Readings on new and pre-owned home sales, the Federal Reserve’s post meeting FOMC statement and reports on mortgage rates and new jobless claims will be released this week.

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697 E Saddle Way San Tan Valley, AZ 85143

New

$465,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,824 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6696752

Property Type Single Family Residence

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Gorgeous home in a vibrant community with so many UPDATES! The resort-style backyard, installed in the last 4 years, features a stunning pool with an expansive Baja step, lush green, tropical trees, and bushes, plus a shaded patio to cool off on hot days. Inside, the house boasts stylish updates, including wood-look flooring and custom designer elements like stone and wood planks. Fresh paint, renovated kitchen cabinets, and newer kitchen appliances ensure modern comfort. The split bedroom floorplan offers privacy, while vaulted ceilings in the great room create a light, open atmosphere. The neighborhood teems with activity, offering tennis, basketball, and pickleball courts, three heated community pools, and the scenic Johnson Ranch golf course. Shopping and restaurants nearby!

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17625 W Dahlia Drive Surprise, AZ 85388

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$465,000

4 Beds

2 Baths

1,917 SqFt

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MLS # 6692113

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Beautiful single level home with desirable great room floor plan, 4 split bdrms and extended 3-car tandem garage. Kitchen upgrades include sharp quartz countertops, 42'' cabinets with raised panels and brushed nickel hardware, gas range, island and stainless steel appliances. Other upgrades include 18'' tile in walk areas, surround sound, radiant barrier roofing for energy efficiency, French doors to the patio, and cabinets in the laundry room. The south-facing backyard is easy maintenance, with a built-in grill with fridge and bar, extended patio, gas stub, dog run, and high quality artificial grass. Exterior was painted in 2023, full interior painted 4/2024. Community park with basketball and sand volleyball courts are within walking distance.

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17557 W Summit Drive Goodyear, AZ 85338

New

$465,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,715 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6697393

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

Immaculately kept 3 bedroom 2 bathroom split floor plan home with a den in Estrella! This 1715 sq ft home is north/south on a corner lot in cul-de-sac with mountain views while backing up to the side of a single story home for the ultimate privacy. The primary bedroom includes a huge walk in closet with a ensuite bathroom that includes a tiled rain shower, dual vanities, and a garden tub. The home features an owned 5kw solar system, wood plank ceramic tile, shutters throughout the home, upgraded granite, custom front door, and many other great features. When you walk out to the finished backyard you'll notice the huge extended aluminum patio providing shade, a gazebo, artificial turf, custom concrete work, and fire pit area while looking at the mountain views. Also included are two community pools, a clubhouse, lake access, and other amenities. Come see this beautiful home today!

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11333 N 92nd Street Scottsdale, AZ 85260

New

$465,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,294 SqFt

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MLS # 6697373

Property Type Apartment

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**REMODELED DREAM CONDO IN THE HEART OF SCOTTSDALE !** Your perfect set up features: Engineered Wood Flooring, 6-inch Baseboards, Upgraded Carpet in Bedrooms, Custom 2-tone Paint, Shiplap Accent Walls, Recessed Lighting, Luxury Modern Fixtures & Fans, Large Living & Dining Area w/ Fireplace for those chilly nights, Remodeled Bathrooms, Beautiful Kitchen with Quartz Counterops, Upgraded Cabinets, Basin Sink, SS Appliances, Fridge included, Laundry Room w/ additional Pantry Storage, Washer/Dryer included, Huge Master Suite w/ Large Walk-in-Closet & a Dual Vanity in the Master Bath. Private Patio w/additional Storage and view of the pool just steps from your door! **RESORT STYLE LIVING** w/ POOL/TENNIS + CLUBHOUSE & FITNESS CENTER! You are close to Shopping/Restaurants/Golf & 101 Freeway!!

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