What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – January 30, 2017

Last week’s economic news included readings on new and existing home sales and mortgage rates. Also released were reports on new jobless claims and consumer sentiment.

New and Existing Home Sales Lower in December

According to the U.S. Commerce Department, sales of new homes fell to 536,000 sales on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis. This reading was markedly lower than the expected rate of 595,000 sales and November’s reading of 598,000 sales. Analysts said that the drop in new home sales indicated that the housing sector is still experiencing a rocky recovery. December’s reading for new home sales was 10.4 percent lower than December’s adjusted reading of 598,000 sales. December’s reading was 0.40 percent lower year-over-year.

The median sale price of new homes was $322,500 in December, which was 4.30 percent higher than in November and 7.90 percent higher than in December 2015. The dip in sales has increased inventory of available homes to a reading of 5.80 months needed to sell all new homes presently available. Real estate pros typically consider a six-month supply of homes for sale a normal inventory.

In related news, sales of pre-owned homes were also lower in December. The National Association of Realtors® reported December sales at 5.49 million on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis; this reading was lower than expectations of 5.51 million sales and November’s reading of 5.65 million sales. The slower rate of sales may signal that home prices have topped out; there is also a very low inventory of available pre-owned homes for sale as compared to demand. Sales of pre-owned homes were 2.80 percent lower than November’s reading, which was the highest rate of existing home sales since 2007. Sales of pre-owned homes were 0.70 percent higher year-over-year.

Winter weather and holidays may have contributed to lower home sales in December, but higher prices, tough mortgage requirements and a low supply of available pre-owned homes were seen as obstacles to completed home sales for December.

Mortgage Rates Mixed, New Jobless Claims Rise

Freddie Mac reported higher fixed rates for mortgages last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage rose 10 basis points to 4.19 percent; the average rate for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage rose six basis points to 3.40 percent. The average rate for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage fell by one basis point to 3.20 percent. Discount points for fixed rate and 5/1 mortgages averaged 0.40 percent.

New jobless claims exceeded expectations of 250,000 new claims with a reading of 259,000 new claims and the prior week’s reading of 237,000 new claims. Analysts said that volatility is common with new jobless claims in January. There were few layoffs reported and good news that the new jobless claims rate remained below the benchmark reading of 300,000 new claims for the 99th consecutive week. This milestone was last seen in 1970.

The four-week rolling average of new jobless claims fell by 2000 to an average of 245,900 new claims filed; this was the lowest reading since 1973.

Consumer sentiment rose to 98.5 which surpassed the expected reading of 98.2 percent and December’s reading of 98.1 percent.

Whats Ahead

Multiple readings on housing and labor related data will be released this week. Scheduled releases include pending home sales, Case-Shiller Housing Market Indices and construction spending. Reports on inflation and core inflation are due along with readings on non-farm payrolls, ADP payrolls and the national unemployment rate.

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27780 W Ox Ranch Road Congress, AZ 85332

$25,000,000
5 Beds
4 Baths
2,328 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6016821
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The O.X. - Little Horse Ranch is an approximately 95,000 +/- acre ranching operation including the 65,620 +/- acre O.X. farm and ranch including 2,292+/- deeded acres located in the high Sonoran Desert 15 miles North of Wickenburg, AZ and the 29,072 +/- acre Little Horse Ranch located in the pine-covered country along the I-17 freeway beginning 3 miles south of Flagstaff, AZ. The 140-year old O.X. Ranch, which is regarded by many as the finest desert ranch in the Southwest, extends from the town of Congress, AZ, at a 3,000 ft. elevation, to the pine-covered peaks of the Weaver Mountains at almost 6,000 feet. The three perennial streams that converge at the headquarters, together with a spring that produces several hundred gallons of water per minute, a 30ft. water table, and a 13 ACRE LAKE

6015 E Cameldale Way Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$22,500,000
7 Beds
14 Baths
15,736 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6214376
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
A work of Art - first time on the market and situated on one of the most commanding homesites in Cameldale, this Grand Estate graces 4.27 acres with stunning views at the base of Camelback Mountain. Created by the vision of its' owner and the professional talent of the Superfecta: Candelaria Design, Inc. (Architect), Desert Star Construction (Builder), Vallone Design, Inc. (Interiors), and Berghoff Design Group (Landscape), every detail exudes an ambience that is grand, yet warm and comfortable for an unequaled Lifestyle. Through the gated entry to the charming arrival, the warmth of a French countryside setting draws you in to handsome stone dwellings with compliments of wood and iron that are the main house, additional garages, a two bedroom, two bath, complete Guest House, ....

11200 E Canyon Cross Way Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$21,999,999 - 7Br/9Ba - Home for Sale in Silverleaf At Dc Ranch, Scottsdale
New
$21,999,999
7 Beds
8.5 Baths
12,617 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6237243
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Introducing ''The Castle On The Hill'', a newly completed hillside masterpiece that is located in a private corner section of Upper Canyon Silverleaf. This 12,617 sqft estate captures both city views of the valley & has breathtaking views of the mountain terrain surrounding it. ''The Castle On The Hill'' was created using only the highest level of luxury materials, craftsmanship & the expertise of the world renown master developers ''Fratantoni''. Main home consists of 5 Bedrooms & 6.5 Bathrooms and has a Separate Detached Guest Home with 2 Bedrooms & 2 Full Bathrooms with Kitchen. This home is an entertainers paradise with a large dining room that overlooks a wine connoisseur's dream wine room and much much more! This property is being offered turn-key for an easy transition!

15860 E Rio Verde Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$19,500,000
4 Beds
8 Baths
8,744 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6106214
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
A coveted Modern West lifestyle awaits in the glorious Sonoran Desert at MorDo Ranch. Located just minutes from all the amenities Scottsdale has to offer, this 101+ acre horse ranch offers both luxury home living along with superb horse facilities. The main residence, designed after an Argentinian Estancia, displays Kitchell commercial building expertise tailored to a magnificent and welcoming estate home, with open floor plan, private his and her offices, two separate guest suites and intimate entertaining areas. Among the estate grounds are a 10-stall barn, two corrals, and four 5-acre pastures. Closer to the main residence are two managers homes, greenhouse and both pool and tennis court.

10719 E Rimrock Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$18,750,000
6 Beds
8 Baths
13,111 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6144446
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Backdropped by the magnificent McDowell Mountains, this incredible Silverleaf estate boasts dramatic views of the vibrant golf course and the twinkling city lights of the Valley below. Designed and built for the most discerning, the home features qualities authentic to a timeless California-style estate with a private gated entrance leading to an extended driveway and grand motor court. Impeccable attention to detail, the finest materials and unparalleled craftsmanship were executed perfectly throughout. Strategically placed on a 9-acre signature homesite is the 13,111 square foot, 6-ensuite bedrooms, 8 bath, timeless home with a detached 1,789 square foot, two-bedroom guest home. This was the first home built in Silverleaf to achieve LEED certification for energy efficiency.

8100 N 68th Street Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$18,000,000
5 Beds
7.5 Baths
17,912 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6194320
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
This authentic Italian Villa in the heart of Paradise Valley was 10 years in the making. Influcenced by the Getty Villa outside of Rome, the materials and artisans who hand crafted them were imported from Italy to work onsite with meticulous detail, under the supervision of noted designer Juan Sandoval. The living spaces open to a grand loggia surrounding two courtyards of lush beauty, (over 300 rosebushes on the property) transporting one's soul to a different place in time. The architectural precision, quality of workmanship, construction quality, attention to detail is unsurpassed. The 60'x60' hand-tiled mosaic heated salt water pool (150,000 gal.) is a work of art, as is each bedroom suite w/ fireproof walls, all Venetian plastered walls throughout, every bookmatched marble floor.

5800 N Yucca Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$16,800,000
8 Beds
11 Baths
21,379 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6222976
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
On 4.62 acres in exclusive Cameldale, with full Camelback Mtn views, sits this incredible French-inspired country chateau currently UNDER AN EXTENSIVE RENOVATION. A lantern-lined long driveway with hand-built stone wall, expansive lush lawns, and a Monet lily pond introduces the estate. The compound totals 21,000 sqft and includes a guest home, a 6,500 sqft game house with indoor 1/2 basketball court, gym+ 300 person club rm, bar, kitchen, home theatre + antique fireplace. The beautiful main home has 7 bedrooms including full attached guest quarters, wine rm+ large tasting rm, library, slate roof, 7 car garage and more. The grounds also feature a tennis court, an English-built Hartley greenhouse, vegetable garden, citrus grove, rose garden , courtyards+ playhouse with playground

41927 N Saguaro Forest Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$16,500,000
5 Beds
5.5 Baths
9,860 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6012791
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The Bacon House at Desert Mountain is a stunning classically modern 9,860 square foot home, designed by Master of the Southwest Architectural Designer Bob Bacon. This south-facing, five-bedroom, open plan home and gallery will be built in Desert Mountain, a secure, gated, private club and recreation-oriented master planned community in Scottsdale, Arizona. The capstone of a storied career, Bacon has created a true masterpiece of livable architectural art destined to be one of the finest homes anywhere; replete with the most advanced technology (including being solar powered) and 5,550 SF of climate-controlled collector's galleries for the safe display of prized possessions such as automobiles, art, or sculpture. A Bacon curated collection of furnishings is also available separately.

20936 N 109th Place Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$16,500,000
6 Beds
11 Baths
16,976 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6202608
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Never before listed! This magnificent private estate awaits a most discerning owner! Situated behind its own private gates on nearly 3 acres within the guard-gated Upper Canyon of Silverleaf. Sophisticated 16,000+ sq ft. custom luxury retreat offers 3 full en-suite master bedrooms each with washer/dryer and safe rooms attached. Two separate guest suites above the garage. An additional 3 offices, 2 of which can be converted to en-suite bedrooms for a possible total of 8 bedrooms and 11 bathrooms. Multiple living and entertaining areas including a fully equipped state-of-the-art theater room. Spacious chef's kitchen with double islands and exceptional custom crafted cabinets. Beautiful, gated motor court with six garages....

6121 N Nauni Valley Drive Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$15,000,000
4 Beds
4.5 Baths
5,631 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6233019
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
From what began as an appeal and vision to create the most alluring home in Arizona's highly sought-after Paradise Valley, Dancing Light came into being, a triumph in contemporary residential architecture that truly reflects the spirit of its natural surroundings. A sprawling 2.8 acres contains two stunning residences, with the main house and guest house consisting of 3 bedrooms and 3 1/2 baths, and 1 bedroom and 1 bath, respectively. Prepare for moments of awe in this Kendle Design, Architect/Desert Star Construction/David Michael Miller, Interiors-designed 6,198 square-foot masterpiece replete with artfully functional details that extends naturally to the outdoors. Camelback Mountain is silently poised nearby, as if offering its blessing to a desert compound made up of the area's natural

19663 N 103rd Street Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$13,000,000
6 Beds
7.5 Baths
10,429 SqFt
Status Active W/contingency
MLS # 6233606
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Silverleaf is one of the most exclusive and sought after golf communities and country club enclaves in the Southwest and the gated Horseshoe Canyon is considered by many to be the premier neighborhood. Adjacent to natural open space and the 2nd fairway, this truly private 10,429 sq. ft. Ranch Hacienda home not only offers 360 degree views, but is thoughtfully crafted with the highest quality finishes, creating a design style that is sophisticated yet casual. The impressive stonework throughout, custom millwork and tile, expansive walls of glass and lush landscaping provide the perfect background for countless amenities: 3 bedrooms on main level and all secondary bedrooms are junior masters, true gourmet kitchen and catering kitchen, glassed walk-in wine room, glass elevator, 2 bedroom

6659 E Indian Bend Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$13,000,000
7 Beds
15 Baths
26,393 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6174692
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Infrequent discovery: Save several years in construction phase and NEW construction built cost (offered under $500 per sqft, this level construction, New is trading $1,500+ SQFT). This Ultimate Guard Gated Estate assures security and privacy. Homes commercial (concrete and steel) grade construction is under way and can be personalized to your taste if you act now! The home can accommodate parking for 20 of your most special car collection or use this space as your ball room/event center. Its generous size, bank grade vault can store your Art, Jewelry or garments. In your spare time, you may find your self lounging by its front courtyard's reflecting pool, its back yard's pool or your indoor pool/spa area. Your wine tasting room can be within the wine cellar or intimately outdoors.

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