What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – December 5, 2016

Last week’s economic news was plentiful with releases on Case-Shiller Home Price Indices and pending home sales. Readings on government and private sector jobs created, the national unemployment rate and weekly readings on new jobless claims and Freddie Mac’s mortgage rates survey were also released.

CaseShiller: Western Cities Dominate Home Price Growth

Case-Shiller’s 20-City Home Price Index reported that Seattle Washington topped year-over-year home price growth with an increase of 11.00 percent. Portland, Oregon followed closely with a reading of 10.90 percent, and Denver Colorado held third place with year-over-year home price gains of 8.70 percent.

San Francisco, California, which had posted high home price gains in recent years, posted a month-to-month reading of -0.40 percent and a year-over-year gain of 5.70 percent. Analysts said that this reading was evidence that home prices in high cost areas were topping out. Affordability, strict mortgage requirements and low inventories of available homes continued to present obstacles to home buyers.

Mortgage Rates Rise, Pending Home Sales Dip

According to the U.S. Commerce Department, pending home sales dipped in October to 0.10 percent as compared to a growth rate of 1.50 percent in September. Winter weather and holidays can cause would-be home buyers to postpone their home searches until spring.

Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates last week, although the 10-year treasury rate, which is tied to mortgage rates, was unchanged from the prior week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage was five basis points higher at 4.08 percent; the average rate for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage rose by nine basis points to 3.34 percent and the average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage rose by three basis points to 3.15 percent. Mortgage rates have risen by 51 basis points in three weeks. This trend, coupled with high home prices, doesn’t bode well for first-time and modest income home buyers.

Consumer spending for October increased by 0.30 percent as compared to predictions for a reading of 0.50 percent and September’s 0.70 percent reading. The core inflation reading for October was unchanged and in line with analyst expectations at 0.10 percent. The core reading excludes volatile food and fuel sectors.

Labor Reports: Job Creation Grows, Unemployment Rate Lower

According to the Labor Department’s Non-Farm Payrolls report for November, 178,000 government and private sector jobs were created as compared to expectations of 200,000 jobs created and October’s reading of 142,000 jobs created in October. According to the Commerce Department, the national unemployment rate for November was 4.60 percent as compared to the expected reading of 4.90 percent and October’s reading of 4.90 percent. Analysts noted that while a lower reading could indicate good news, it was also the result of fewer workers in the work force. The unemployment rate is based on unemployment claims filed by those actively seeking work; it does not include those underemployed or those who have stopped seeking work.

First-time jobless claims rose to 268,000 as compared to expectations of 250,000 new claims and the prior week’s reading of 251,000 new claims filed.

In spite of higher mortgage rates and dubious labor reports, the Consumer Confidence Index rose to 107.1 in November from October’s reading of 100.8; Analysts had expected an index reading of 102.5.

Whats Ahead

Next week’s economic reports include releases on job openings and consumer sentiment along with weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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27780 W Ox Ranch Road Congress, AZ 85332

$25,000,000
5 Beds
4 Baths
2,328 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6016821
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The O.X. - Little Horse Ranch is an approximately 95,000 +/- acre ranching operation including the 65,620 +/- acre O.X. farm and ranch including 2,292+/- deeded acres located in the high Sonoran Desert 15 miles North of Wickenburg, AZ and the 29,072 +/- acre Little Horse Ranch located in the pine-covered country along the I-17 freeway beginning 3 miles south of Flagstaff, AZ. The 140-year old O.X. Ranch, which is regarded by many as the finest desert ranch in the Southwest, extends from the town of Congress, AZ, at a 3,000 ft. elevation, to the pine-covered peaks of the Weaver Mountains at almost 6,000 feet. The three perennial streams that converge at the headquarters, together with a spring that produces several hundred gallons of water per minute, a 30ft. water table, and a 13 ACRE LAKE

6015 E Cameldale Way Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$22,500,000
7 Beds
14 Baths
15,736 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6214376
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
A work of Art - first time on the market and situated on one of the most commanding homesites in Cameldale, this Grand Estate graces 4.27 acres with stunning views at the base of Camelback Mountain. Created by the vision of its' owner and the professional talent of the Superfecta: Candelaria Design, Inc. (Architect), Desert Star Construction (Builder), Vallone Design, Inc. (Interiors), and Berghoff Design Group (Landscape), every detail exudes an ambience that is grand, yet warm and comfortable for an unequaled Lifestyle. Through the gated entry to the charming arrival, the warmth of a French countryside setting draws you in to handsome stone dwellings with compliments of wood and iron that are the main house, additional garages, a two bedroom, two bath, complete Guest House, ....

7620 N Red Ledge Drive Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$20,000,000
9 Beds
14 Baths
18,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6097421
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
EXTRAORDINARY CONTEMPORARY MASTERPIECE BY CP Drewett! UNPARALLELED VIEWS, PRIVACY, AND LOCATION! This spectacular, fully customizable, contemporary build-to-suit home, perfectly situated on a 16.4 acre mountain top Paradise Valley estate lot, presents the most discriminating individual an opportunity to have it all. Located within a guard-gated community, and behind its own private gate, the privileged owner of this extraordinary home will possess a unique level of privacy and seclusion rarely found, especially when considering the area's best fine dining, shopping, and entertainment are within 15 minutes drive, and both the Phoenix Sky Harbor International and Scottsdale Airports are only 20 minutes away. This remarkable property offers two breathtaking building pads. Must Watch Videos

15860 E Rio Verde Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$19,500,000
4 Beds
8 Baths
8,744 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6106214
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
A coveted Modern West lifestyle awaits in the glorious Sonoran Desert at MorDo Ranch. Located just minutes from all the amenities Scottsdale has to offer, this 101+ acre horse ranch offers both luxury home living along with superb horse facilities. The main residence, designed after an Argentinian Estancia, displays Kitchell commercial building expertise tailored to a magnificent and welcoming estate home, with open floor plan, private his and her offices, two separate guest suites and intimate entertaining areas. Among the estate grounds are a 10-stall barn, two corrals, and four 5-acre pastures. Closer to the main residence are two managers homes, greenhouse and both pool and tennis court.

10719 E Rimrock Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$18,750,000
6 Beds
8 Baths
13,111 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6144446
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Backdropped by the magnificent McDowell Mountains, this incredible Silverleaf estate boasts dramatic views of the vibrant golf course and the twinkling city lights of the Valley below. Designed and built for the most discerning, the home features qualities authentic to a timeless California-style estate with a private gated entrance leading to an extended driveway and grand motor court. Impeccable attention to detail, the finest materials and unparalleled craftsmanship were executed perfectly throughout. Strategically placed on a 9-acre signature homesite is the 13,111 square foot, 6-ensuite bedrooms, 8 bath, timeless home with a detached 1,789 square foot, two-bedroom guest home. This was the first home built in Silverleaf to achieve LEED certification for energy efficiency.

8100 N 68th Street Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$18,000,000
5 Beds
7.5 Baths
17,912 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6194320
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The Hacienda of Paradise Valley; an exclusive palatial Mediterranean style estate. Experience the master class in what can be achieved when worlds finest artisans and materials create the unlimited, without a budget in mind or in sight. Designed by Juan Sandoval following the format of 17th Century Colonial architecture, but with every modern convenience. This magnificent home is unparalleled in its construction quality and architectural precision. Every 2 acre part of this estate was designed and built in over a ten year period. Two spectacular central courtyards. One for gardens and fountains, the other for a stunning 60X60 foot pool. The design of the home guarantees beauty from every room, and a level of security unmatched by even the most advanced technology. Watch its motion Vide

5800 N Yucca Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$16,800,000
8 Beds
11 Baths
21,379 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6222976
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
On 4.62 acres in exclusive Cameldale, with full Camelback Mtn views, sits this incredible French-inspired country chateau currently UNDER AN EXTENSIVE RENOVATION. A lantern-lined long driveway with hand-built stone wall, expansive lush lawns, and a Monet lily pond introduces the estate. The compound totals 21,000 sqft and includes a guest home, a 6,500 sqft game house with indoor 1/2 basketball court, gym+ 300 person club rm, bar, kitchen, home theatre + antique fireplace. The beautiful main home has 7 bedrooms including full attached guest quarters, wine rm+ large tasting rm, library, slate roof, 7 car garage and more. The grounds also feature a tennis court, an English-built Hartley greenhouse, vegetable garden, citrus grove, rose garden , courtyards+ playhouse with playground

41927 N Saguaro Forest Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$16,500,000
5 Beds
5.5 Baths
9,860 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6012791
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The Bacon House at Desert Mountain is a stunning classically modern 9,860 square foot home, designed by Master of the Southwest Architectural Designer Bob Bacon. This south-facing, five-bedroom, open plan home and gallery will be built in Desert Mountain, a secure, gated, private club and recreation-oriented master planned community in Scottsdale, Arizona. The capstone of a storied career, Bacon has created a true masterpiece of livable architectural art destined to be one of the finest homes anywhere; replete with the most advanced technology (including being solar powered) and 5,550 SF of climate-controlled collector's galleries for the safe display of prized possessions such as automobiles, art, or sculpture. A Bacon curated collection of furnishings is also available separately.

20936 N 109th Place Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$16,500,000
6 Beds
11 Baths
16,976 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6202608
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Never before listed! This magnificent private estate awaits a most discerning owner! Situated behind its own private gates on nearly 3 acres within the guard-gated Upper Canyon of Silverleaf. Sophisticated 16,000+ sq ft. custom luxury retreat offers 3 full en-suite master bedrooms each with washer/dryer and safe rooms attached. Two separate guest suites above the garage. An additional 3 offices, 2 of which can be converted to en-suite bedrooms for a possible total of 8 bedrooms and 11 bathrooms. Multiple living and entertaining areas including a fully equipped state-of-the-art theater room. Spacious chef's kitchen with double islands and exceptional custom crafted cabinets. Beautiful, gated motor court with six garages....

5335 N Invergordon Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$14,990,000
6 Beds
13 Baths
25,851 SqFt
Status Active W/contingency
MLS # 5892742
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
This fabulous gated 25,000 sq ft. estate built in 2013 has views of Camelback Mountain overlooking a beautiful terraced cascading pool + grounds. The residence has exquisite mahogany ceilings and cabinetry, 6 automated pocket doors to the outside, a 2 story high living rm, 2 bedrm master suite w sitting rm 2 master baths + 2 closets. There is a gourmet kitchen w 2 large center islands and marble floors opening to a 1,750 sq ft family rm, an extraordinary two-story library, a 12 seat theatre, wine rm, a lounge bar, 2 offices, an exercise rm with glass steam rm + sauna + an attached guest home.The main rooms: kitchen, master suites, office and library are on the main floor. This home was built to commercial standards. There is also a 25 person elevator, add'l elevator + shooting range.

10944 E Whistling Wind Way Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$14,950,000
7 Beds
9.5 Baths
11,794 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6175522
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Renowned architect Bing Hu is creating another masterpiece in the Upper Canyon of the prestigious and highly acclaimed Silverleaf community. This 11,794 SF estate is a modern adaptation of the Prairie style of architecture, perfectly situated sitting on the high foothills of the McDowell Mtns with panoramic city lights, mountain and valley views. The superb quality of the finishes and the amenities included are sure to please the most discerning: 5 ground floor bedrooms and 2 bedroom guest house, 11 car garage, spacious gym, sport court and pickleball court, media room and separate golf simulator room, large negative edge pool, spa and lounging pool - Certainly everything you'd expect in a home of this stature. All artist renderings are conceptual and subject to changes

8185 E Alameda Road Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$13,950,000
5 Beds
11 Baths
17,400 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6190244
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
This incredible, irreplaceable appx 10 acre residential/equestrian estate is located in the heart of Pinnacle Peak which makes it one of the most unique equestrian facilities in all of North Scottsdale. Main house features 3br suites incredible living, family, dining rooms & beautiful Kitchen. 8 seat theater , 5,000 SF pavilion that is done like no other 2 new separate guest quarters, 2 RV garages several out buildings to house all your cars and other toys. All this in addition to one of the most beautiful and quality equestrian facilities. It's everything you could ever need and there's still room for more if one wanted to expand. The photos and vitural tours will help tell the rest of the story of all the equestrian facilities. Equestrian amenities include

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