What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – December 5, 2016

Last week’s economic news was plentiful with releases on Case-Shiller Home Price Indices and pending home sales. Readings on government and private sector jobs created, the national unemployment rate and weekly readings on new jobless claims and Freddie Mac’s mortgage rates survey were also released.

CaseShiller: Western Cities Dominate Home Price Growth

Case-Shiller’s 20-City Home Price Index reported that Seattle Washington topped year-over-year home price growth with an increase of 11.00 percent. Portland, Oregon followed closely with a reading of 10.90 percent, and Denver Colorado held third place with year-over-year home price gains of 8.70 percent.

San Francisco, California, which had posted high home price gains in recent years, posted a month-to-month reading of -0.40 percent and a year-over-year gain of 5.70 percent. Analysts said that this reading was evidence that home prices in high cost areas were topping out. Affordability, strict mortgage requirements and low inventories of available homes continued to present obstacles to home buyers.

Mortgage Rates Rise, Pending Home Sales Dip

According to the U.S. Commerce Department, pending home sales dipped in October to 0.10 percent as compared to a growth rate of 1.50 percent in September. Winter weather and holidays can cause would-be home buyers to postpone their home searches until spring.

Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates last week, although the 10-year treasury rate, which is tied to mortgage rates, was unchanged from the prior week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage was five basis points higher at 4.08 percent; the average rate for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage rose by nine basis points to 3.34 percent and the average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage rose by three basis points to 3.15 percent. Mortgage rates have risen by 51 basis points in three weeks. This trend, coupled with high home prices, doesn’t bode well for first-time and modest income home buyers.

Consumer spending for October increased by 0.30 percent as compared to predictions for a reading of 0.50 percent and September’s 0.70 percent reading. The core inflation reading for October was unchanged and in line with analyst expectations at 0.10 percent. The core reading excludes volatile food and fuel sectors.

Labor Reports: Job Creation Grows, Unemployment Rate Lower

According to the Labor Department’s Non-Farm Payrolls report for November, 178,000 government and private sector jobs were created as compared to expectations of 200,000 jobs created and October’s reading of 142,000 jobs created in October. According to the Commerce Department, the national unemployment rate for November was 4.60 percent as compared to the expected reading of 4.90 percent and October’s reading of 4.90 percent. Analysts noted that while a lower reading could indicate good news, it was also the result of fewer workers in the work force. The unemployment rate is based on unemployment claims filed by those actively seeking work; it does not include those underemployed or those who have stopped seeking work.

First-time jobless claims rose to 268,000 as compared to expectations of 250,000 new claims and the prior week’s reading of 251,000 new claims filed.

In spite of higher mortgage rates and dubious labor reports, the Consumer Confidence Index rose to 107.1 in November from October’s reading of 100.8; Analysts had expected an index reading of 102.5.

Whats Ahead

Next week’s economic reports include releases on job openings and consumer sentiment along with weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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15860 E Rio Verde Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$55,000,000
9 Beds
7 Baths
14,997 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6471198
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Located on approx. 237 acres on the edge of Scottsdale, this one-of-a-kind property perfectly captures the essence of the Southwest. Stunning 360-degree views combine with the peace and solitude of the Sonoran Desert to create a private oasis while all the best of Scottsdale's amenities are just minutes away. The 8,700 SF main residence is modeled after an Argentinian estancia and is grand, yet comfortable. Additional amenities include a large greenhouse and potting shed, tennis court, pool and shooting range. Additional buildings include a 1,900 SF guest house, a 1,500 SF caretakers' cottage and a 2,800 SF office/art museum. World-class equestrian facilities include a six-stall stable, 16-stall mare motel, numerous corrals, pastures and several outbuildings. Plentiful water with two

20568 N 112th Street Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$32,000,000
7 Beds
10 Baths
17,267 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6413286
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
A Dream Team Comes Together Like a Symphony to Create a Custom Estate That is a Work of Art, introducing Ellington Heights in Silverleaf''There is no art when one does something without intention.'' -- Duke Ellington.Without a doubt the King of Jazz would consider Ellington Heights--a sleek and stylish gem--a superb work of art. Nestled in the sun-kissed upper canyon of Silverleaf, an exclusive enclave in Scottsdale, Arizona, the design for this magnificent estate collected inspiration from the social, artistic and cultural dynamism of the Roaring Twenties era. Further, the design journey for this modern desert prairie-style home, included finding perfect harmony with its Sonoran surroundings.(see 'more' now)

7265 N 40th Street Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$30,600,000
5 Beds
7 Baths
18,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6346005
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Amethyst is the crown jewel of Crown Canyon situated above all other homesites. This 5 acre parcel awaits an architectural masterpiece to capture the most prolific views in the community. The experienced team at BedBrock Developers is prepared to fully design and build your custom dream home on this impressive mountain hillside. In-house architect Stratton Andrews has designed an 18,000 square foot showcase home custom to this lot demonstrating the endless possibilities within this homesite.''The breathtaking Amethyst homesite itself ignited the inspiration for this architectural masterpiece. The design flows with the topography allowing 270 degree views of the valley, Camelback Mountain and Piestewa Peak, while immersing the homeowner in the natural beauty of the desert'' says the

5247 N Invergordon Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$30,000,000
7 Beds
13 Baths
13,364 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6447698
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Introducing ''The Royal Chateau'', an exquisitely remodeled estate (completed May 2022)! Boasting 7 bedrooms, 13 bathrooms with sweeping views of Camelback Mountain, this home is sure to please with only the highest level of finishes. The main residence offers nearly 10,000 sf of luxury interior living with 2 separate guest houses. This custom residence includes a custom 600 Bottle Wine Cellar, 7 Car Garages w/ AC, Chef's Kitchen w/ Dual Sinks, custom built-in Subzero Fridge & Freezer, and large walk-in pantry with appliances. Featuring a state-of-the-art home theater, home office with views of Camelback, parlor with wet bar & custom woodwork throughout the entire home. Guests may stay in either of the 2 guest casitas and enjoy the several outdoor entertaining areas throughout the property

21235 N 102nd Street Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$29,500,000
6 Beds
8 Baths
14,048 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6485821
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The Barn at Silverleaf - Discover the ultimate in luxury lifestyle. This awe-inspiring modern interpretation of this Prairie style estate is the result of a year- long design effort by renowned architect CP Drewett and a hand selected team of consultants. World class interior design is currently being developed by Claire Ownby, founder of Ownby Design. While the vision is a sophisticated custom estate of just over 14,000 square feet, the functionality is comfortable and inviting. The unique design truly elevates the tenets of desert modernism and resort style living. Perched at the summit of a long private driveway, every area of this three-acre estate has spectacular views and are destinations within themselves. The Barn is horizontal in nature with extremely deep overhangs and a

20958 N 112th Street Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$28,000,000
7 Beds
8 Baths
13,617 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6375239
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Welcome to ''The Aerie'', perched high in the McDowell Mountains in Scottdale's most exclusive community of Silverleaf sits this one of a kind masterpiece with unmatched views of the valley below. Thoughtfully designed by Erik Peterson of PHX Architecture and built with the ultimate in perfection by Paragon Custom Homes into a true work of art, this brand new desert contemporary home is an amazing estate. From the open great room which leads to the designer kitchen and hidden catering kitchen to the thoughtfully designed entertainment zone, and the palatial master wing this home has it all. Embodying a true indoor outdoor lifestyle, entertaining spaces flow to the beautiful outdoors all with amazing views of the valley below.

11235 E Wingspan Way Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$24,220,000
6 Beds
8.5 Baths
11,556 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6362093
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
An artful masterpiece, this stunning estate was recently completed in July of 2021 by Salcito Custom Homes. Grandly positioned on 4.67 acres on one of the best homesites in Silverleaf, this home sits prominently in the iconic ''saddle'' of the Upper Canyon Summit in Silverleaf. Exuding warmth and sophistication with a unique French Modern style and architecture thoughtfully designed by Dale Gardon, this regal home captures the spectacular views of the Silverleaf Golf Course and the Valley throughout the home. The garages are perfect for a car collector with capacity for 11 cars. The superb interiors, designed in collaboration with Rebecca Salcito feature distinctive elements such as a fireplace carved from marble to hand-blown glass chandeliers, custom artwork

6044 N 44th Place Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$22,500,000
4 Beds
7 Baths
10,656 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6378747
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Welcome to this one of a kind single level HILLTOP estate with 360 degree views- As you enter the gated circular drive and approach the spectacular entry foyer you'll be amazed by the height of the ceilings and walls of glass overlooking city & mountain views, resort sized living room, generous use of stone, marble and slab granite throughout, beautiful warm and timeless finishes. formal dining room with city views , complete bar w ice maker/dishwasher, 10 ft burled redwood doors and cabinetry throughout, West Wing features -Powder room, Luxurious primary suite with coffee bar, unreal views, 2 baths with 2 large paneled closets, granite showers, fireplace , study with wood paneled ceilings, bookshelves and workroom, 1000 sq foot gym- w bath & closet- serves as multi purpose,

11269 E Moonlight Canyon -- Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$21,500,000
7 Beds
9 Baths
11,530 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6384286
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Renowned architect Bing Hu is creating a masterpiece in the Upper Canyon of the prestigious and highly acclaimed Silverleaf community. This 11,530 SF estate is a modern adaptation of the Prairie style of architecture, perfectly situated sitting on the high foothills of the McDowell Mountains with panoramic city lights, mountain and valley views. The superb quality of the finishes and the amenities included are sure to please the most discerning, certainly everything you'd expect in a home of this stature: green building materials and technologies, state of the art automation throughout, Sonos Surround Sound entertainment theater, Gaggenau ''Art of the Kitchen'' custom creation and more. Added opportunity is the GOLF MEMBERSHIP AVAILABLE with this home. Creating a masterpiece

10719 E Rimrock Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$21,200,000
6 Beds
8 Baths
13,114 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6455254
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Immediate occupancy opportunity to include a Silverleaf Golf Membership and Furnishings. Warm and welcoming, nestled on a flat pad, not on a steep-driveway or below street-grade. The motor court, detached guest home, front and rear yard, all flow without any elevation changes. Secondary rooms, second wet bar and additional flex rooms live above. Perched on McDowell Mountains, offering an exclusive 'front row seat elevation' to the spectacular sprawling and vibrant golf course, twinkling city lights, plus captivating near/far mountain views. Flawlessly crafted and meticulously maintained by valley's renowned luxury home builder, Desert Star Construction. This signature address encompasses over 9 acres; 13,111 square feet of living space to including 1,789 SF 2 bedroom guest home. SEE VIDEO

5724 E Mockingbird Lane Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$19,999,888
7 Beds
9 Baths
14,801 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6408372
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Experience this incredible brand-new residence, meticulously crafted on 5 acres, which will be one of the most significant estates built in Paradise Valley. This spectacular property will offer a split, single level floor plan, lush & mature manicured grounds, impeccable finishes and design throughout in one of Paradise Valley's most expensive locations! Enjoy the world class amenities, indoor and outdoor lifestyle, pool, spa, ramada, tennis court and never before seen features in a home with the iconic view of Mummy Mountain as the backdrop. Located in the highly desirable 3 C's school district, also featuring a 11 car garage for auto collectors. This is Arizona's most prestigious presale opportunity.

7540 N Red Ledge Drive Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$19,500,000
4 Beds
6.5 Baths
10,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6477513
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
This Modern ''Frank Lloyd Wright Inspired'' mountainside estate is being designed and built on the HIGHEST VIEW LOT STILL AVAILABLE IN THE TOWN OF PARADISE VALLEY. The owners, in collaboration with Incline Builders and Architekshon, Inc. have designed a true modern masterpiece for the most discerning buyer. The 5.01 acre homesite offers unparalleled views and an extremely unique level of privacy and exclusion within 20 minutes of world class resorts, dining, shopping, Paradise Valley Country Club and both Scottsdale and Phoenix Sky Harbor Airports. The modern design will include 10,000 square feet of 10 to 12 foot ceilings, large open rooms w/ windows of glass, his & her offices, a gym, theater, negative edge pool and 5 car garage. A $2M private driveway was built to the homesite.

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