What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – December 5, 2016

Last week’s economic news was plentiful with releases on Case-Shiller Home Price Indices and pending home sales. Readings on government and private sector jobs created, the national unemployment rate and weekly readings on new jobless claims and Freddie Mac’s mortgage rates survey were also released.

CaseShiller: Western Cities Dominate Home Price Growth

Case-Shiller’s 20-City Home Price Index reported that Seattle Washington topped year-over-year home price growth with an increase of 11.00 percent. Portland, Oregon followed closely with a reading of 10.90 percent, and Denver Colorado held third place with year-over-year home price gains of 8.70 percent.

San Francisco, California, which had posted high home price gains in recent years, posted a month-to-month reading of -0.40 percent and a year-over-year gain of 5.70 percent. Analysts said that this reading was evidence that home prices in high cost areas were topping out. Affordability, strict mortgage requirements and low inventories of available homes continued to present obstacles to home buyers.

Mortgage Rates Rise, Pending Home Sales Dip

According to the U.S. Commerce Department, pending home sales dipped in October to 0.10 percent as compared to a growth rate of 1.50 percent in September. Winter weather and holidays can cause would-be home buyers to postpone their home searches until spring.

Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates last week, although the 10-year treasury rate, which is tied to mortgage rates, was unchanged from the prior week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage was five basis points higher at 4.08 percent; the average rate for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage rose by nine basis points to 3.34 percent and the average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage rose by three basis points to 3.15 percent. Mortgage rates have risen by 51 basis points in three weeks. This trend, coupled with high home prices, doesn’t bode well for first-time and modest income home buyers.

Consumer spending for October increased by 0.30 percent as compared to predictions for a reading of 0.50 percent and September’s 0.70 percent reading. The core inflation reading for October was unchanged and in line with analyst expectations at 0.10 percent. The core reading excludes volatile food and fuel sectors.

Labor Reports: Job Creation Grows, Unemployment Rate Lower

According to the Labor Department’s Non-Farm Payrolls report for November, 178,000 government and private sector jobs were created as compared to expectations of 200,000 jobs created and October’s reading of 142,000 jobs created in October. According to the Commerce Department, the national unemployment rate for November was 4.60 percent as compared to the expected reading of 4.90 percent and October’s reading of 4.90 percent. Analysts noted that while a lower reading could indicate good news, it was also the result of fewer workers in the work force. The unemployment rate is based on unemployment claims filed by those actively seeking work; it does not include those underemployed or those who have stopped seeking work.

First-time jobless claims rose to 268,000 as compared to expectations of 250,000 new claims and the prior week’s reading of 251,000 new claims filed.

In spite of higher mortgage rates and dubious labor reports, the Consumer Confidence Index rose to 107.1 in November from October’s reading of 100.8; Analysts had expected an index reading of 102.5.

Whats Ahead

Next week’s economic reports include releases on job openings and consumer sentiment along with weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

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21053 N 110th Way Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$27,500,000
6 Beds
8.5 Baths
15,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6142312
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Never before listed, this magnificent private estate awaits a most discerning owner! Situated behind its own private gates on 4.7 acres within the guard-gated Upper Canyon of Silverleaf. This extraordinary 15,000+ sq ft. architecturally designed by visionary Dale Gardon & built by award winning Salcito Custom Homes offers French limestone & French Oak flooring throughout. Sophisticated bathrooms feature heated flooring & steam showers. Fantastic fully equipped guest house includes washer / dryer, dual custom walk-in closets & private outdoor oasis. Large gym & 6 car airconditioned garage bays. Spectacular outdoor spaces cater to every whim; deep diving pool, spa, firepit, kitchen, multiple sitting areas w/ fireplaces & ceiling heaters guarantee stunning Arizona living & entertaining!!

27780 W Ox Ranch Road Congress, AZ 85332

$25,000,000
5 Beds
4 Baths
2,328 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6016821
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The O.X. - Little Horse Ranch is an approximately 95,000 +/- acre ranching operation including the 65,620 +/- acre O.X. farm and ranch including 2,292+/- deeded acres located in the high Sonoran Desert 15 miles North of Wickenburg, AZ and the 29,072 +/- acre Little Horse Ranch located in the pine-covered country along the I-17 freeway beginning 3 miles south of Flagstaff, AZ. The 140-year old O.X. Ranch, which is regarded by many as the finest desert ranch in the Southwest, extends from the town of Congress, AZ, at a 3,000 ft. elevation, to the pine-covered peaks of the Weaver Mountains at almost 6,000 feet. The three perennial streams that converge at the headquarters, together with a spring that produces several hundred gallons of water per minute, a 30ft. water table, and a 13 ACRE LAKE

7620 N Red Ledge Drive Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$20,000,000
9 Beds
14 Baths
18,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6097421
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
EXTRAORDINARY CONTEMPORARY MASTERPIECE BY CP Drewett! UNPARALLELED VIEWS, PRIVACY, AND LOCATION! This spectacular, fully customizable, contemporary build-to-suit home, perfectly situated on a 16.4 acre mountain top Paradise Valley estate lot, presents the most discriminating individual an opportunity to have it all. Located within a guard-gated community, and behind its own private gate, the privileged owner of this extraordinary home will possess a unique level of privacy and seclusion rarely found, especially when considering the area's best fine dining, shopping, and entertainment are within 15 minutes drive, and both the Phoenix Sky Harbor International and Scottsdale Airports are only 20 minutes away. This remarkable property offers two breathtaking building pads. Must Watch Videos

15860 E Rio Verde Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$19,500,000
4 Beds
8 Baths
8,744 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6106214
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
A coveted Modern West lifestyle awaits in the glorious Sonoran Desert at MorDo Ranch. Located just minutes from all the amenities Scottsdale has to offer, this 19-acre horse ranch offers both luxury home living along with superb horse facilities. The main residence, designed after an Argentinian Estancia, displays Kitchell commercial building expertise tailored to a magnificent and welcoming estate home, with open floor plan, private his and her offices, two separate guest suites and intimate entertaining areas. Among the estate grounds are a 10-stall barn, two corrals, and four 5-acre pastures. Closer to the main residence are two managers homes, greenhouse and both pool and tennis court.

10719 E Rimrock Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$18,750,000
6 Beds
8 Baths
13,111 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6144446
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Backdropped by the magnificent McDowell Mountains, this incredible Silverleaf estate boasts dramatic views of the vibrant golf course and the twinkling city lights of the Valley below. Designed and built for the most discerning, the home features qualities authentic to a timeless California-style estate with a private gated entrance leading to an extended driveway and grand motor court. Impeccable attention to detail, the finest materials and unparalleled craftsmanship were executed perfectly throughout. Strategically placed on a 9-acre signature homesite is the 13,111 square foot, 6-ensuite bedrooms, 8 bath, timeless home with a detached 1,789 square foot, two-bedroom guest home. This was the first home built in Silverleaf to achieve LEED certification for energy efficiency.

41927 N Saguaro Forest Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$16,500,000
5 Beds
5.5 Baths
9,860 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6012791
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The Bacon House at Desert Mountain is a stunning classically modern 9,860 square foot home, designed by Master of the Southwest Architectural Designer Bob Bacon. This south-facing, five-bedroom, open plan home and gallery will be built in Desert Mountain, a secure, gated, private club and recreation-oriented master planned community in Scottsdale, Arizona. The capstone of a storied career, Bacon has created a true masterpiece of livable architectural art destined to be one of the finest homes anywhere; replete with the most advanced technology (including being solar powered) and 5,550 SF of climate-controlled collector's galleries for the safe display of prized possessions such as automobiles, art, or sculpture. A Bacon curated collection of furnishings is also available separately.

New River AZ 85087

$16,000,000
4 Beds
2 Baths
19,161 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5584412
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
AMAZING OPPORTUNITY TO OWN 32 ACRES TOTAL NORTH OF ANTHEM OUTLETS. BORDERS I17 FRONTAGE ROAD. C3 Zoning. Fantastic location. Please DO NOT bother anyone on property. Seller firm at 16 million dollars. Seller will finance! Thank you.

5335 N Invergordon Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$14,990,000
6 Beds
13 Baths
25,851 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5892742
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
This fabulous gated 25,000 sq ft. estate built in 2013 has views of Camelback Mountain overlooking a beautiful terraced cascading pool + grounds. The residence has exquisite mahogany ceilings and cabinetry, 6 automated pocket doors to the outside, a 2 story high living rm, 2 bedrm master suite w sitting rm 2 master baths + 2 closets. There is a gourmet kitchen w 2 large center islands and marble floors opening to a 1,750 sq ft family rm, an extraordinary two-story library, a 12 seat theatre, wine rm, a lounge bar, 2 offices, an exercise rm with glass steam rm + sauna + an attached guest home.The main rooms: kitchen, master suites, office and library are on the main floor. This home was built to commercial standards. There is also a 25 person elevator, add'l elevator + shooting range.

7046 N 59th Place Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$12,999,998
7 Beds
13 Baths
20,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6155061
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Welcome to Bella Paradiso, Paradise Valley's most sophistcated and prestigious estate, situated on the famed Mummy Mountain. This resort like home has unparalleled views of both Camelback Mountain and glistening city lights, reaching all the way from the East Valley to Downtown Phoenix. This remarkable 20,000 square foot property boasts 6 ensuite bedrooms, 13 bathrooms, 7 fireplaces, 4 separate laundry facilities, 3 full bars, a private office, movie theatre, interior basketball court and numerous water features. Nationally recognized interior designer, Jamie Herzlinger, completed this home with state of the art furnishings and design elements hearkening back to the time of the Golden Era. From the dramatic entrance on the grand level with a striking staircase, to the open concept kitchen

5021 E Arabian Way Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$12,950,000
6 Beds
9 Baths
16,083 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5826956
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Timeless Classic Elegant Masterpiece! Surround yourself in complete tranquility and luxury on almost 5 spectacular acres enveloped by mountains, lush grounds and magnificent gardens. This prestigious residence has been masterfully remodeled to be one of the finest estates in Paradise Valley. With over 16,000 square feet comprising 6 bedrooms and 9 bathrooms, this exquisite home boasts a stunning grand entrance, soaring uniquely decorated ceilings, large scale rooms with finest architectural features including sophisticated finishes throughout with details sourced the world over and a floorplan that is formal, yet creates a comfortable and inviting ambience. Other luxury amenities include; formal living and dining rooms, family style great room and open chef's kitchen,

5950 E Valley Vista Lane Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$12,750,000
7 Beds
10 Baths
12,295 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6151640
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
With state-of-the-art 2019 renovations and upgrades by John Schultz, a beautifully re-envisioned and chic interior by Donna Vallone, and pristine landscaping by Berghoff Design, this 2 1/4 ACRE Very Private Estate exudes cool sophistication and boasts stunning FULL CAMELBACK MTN VIEWS! Multiple French doors frame Camelback Mtn and open to the HUGE Backyard with expansive green lawns, a fully tiled pool, cabana, sport court, putting green, private jogging path + flower gardens. Highlights include 16-Ft ceilings, a FULL 2BDRM GUEST HOME, SEPARATE EXERCISE BLDG (or 2nd guest house), 2 family rms, White Designer Chef's Kitchen, an elegant 2 story library, white Carrara marble bathrms, 2 huge outdoor entertainment patios, + groin vaulted ceiling in hallways. Upgrades include New Cabinetry,

250 Enchanted Way Sedona, AZ 86336

$12,500,000
7 Beds
14 Baths
15,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6091601
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Vista Rossa is a sprawling 10-acre estate that is cradled in the Red Rock mountains of Sedona, Arizona featuring sweeping views and a private, resort-like setting. The scale of this 15,000 square-foot, seven-bedroom and 14-bath home was designed to match the grandeur of the red rocks it borders. Nestled against the Coconino National Forest. Designed by one of Arizona's top builders, Morris Fine Homebuilding, this extraordinary estate was planned specifically for its elevated location and borders the national forest offering residents the ultimate in privacy and recreation.The estate begins with a scenic drive down the 1/4 mile gated and tree-lined entry to the valet-style courtyard with five garages.Perfect for entertaining, the open floor plan includes a two-story great room with

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