As 2017 winds down, analysts are forecasting economic developments for 2017. Forbes identified three indicators that the U.S. housing market has recovered. Mortgage rates rose again last week; jobless claims fell and consumer sentiment jumped rose five points. The details:
Housing Market Recovery Complete: Forbes
Three conditions were cited by Forbes as evidence that the housing market has recovered:
Analysts said that homeowners are putting their homes on the market after years of waiting for home prices to peak. On the flip side, mortgage rates are expected to rise further and home buyers may be taking a “now or never” plunge into buying homes before market conditions and mortgage rates combine to make home prices unaffordable.
The Federal Reserve reported that U.S. mortgage debt increased by 1.90 percent in Q3 2016; this was the highest growth rate for mortgage debt since Q3 2008. While population growth and household formation are lower, the overall ratio of mortgage debt to disposable income is near historically low levels. Stricter mortgage qualification standards are keeping home buyers from borrowing mortgage loans that they can’t repay.
After years of high demand for short supplies of available homes, home builders are ramping up construction. Housing starts rose by 25 percent in October and matched construction rates not seen since mid-2007.
Mortgage Rates Rise, New Jobless Claims Dip
Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage rose five basis points to 4.13 percent. The average rate for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage was two basis points higher at 3.36 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage also rose by two basis points to 3.17 percent.
New jobless claims fell last week to 258,000 new claims, which matched expectations and was lower than the prior week’s reading of 268,000 new claims. Job openings held steady in October with a reading of 5.50 million.
What’s Ahead
Next week’s economic calendar includes readings on retail sales and inflation along with the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee Statement and a press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen. The National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index will be released in addition to Commerce Department reports on housing starts and building permits issued. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims will also be released.
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3627 E Bethany Home Road
Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
$75,000,000
13
Beds
16
Baths
12,261
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6525456
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
Arizona's leading custom home builder, Cullum Homes, is proud to partner with WOW Luxury Properties and present Arizona's most expensive home to ever be built. Introducing the $75 million Palo Cristi Estate Luxury Properties purchased the land last April and immediately partnered with Cullum Homes with the direction to define a next level of luxury in Paradise Valley. The mandate has been to spare no expense in creating a home that is both functional and captures a WOW from every room. Shortly thereafter the team selected Desert Foothills for its landscaping with the same mandate. A mandate that applies to the two adding parcels which are also for sale. SEE MORE FOR DETAILS ABOUT THE HOME ! Owner/Agent
5738 N Casa Blanca Drive
Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
$40,000,000
6
Beds
13.5
Baths
23,417
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6551905
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
New modern custom highest end construction build in Casa Blanca & Wilkinson corridor by Regal American Homes. Extremely private estate with stunning mountain views of Camelback, Praying Monk, & Mummy. This 6 bed, 13.5 bath, 23,417 sqft is for the most discerning buyer. Modern design includes central courtyard, open great room & chef's kitchen w/large back kitchen holding hidden bar, pantry, Costco room, & walk-in cooler & freezer. Split floorplan where primary suite includes separate his and hers: vanity, enclosed toilets, & closets, large walk-in shower, free standing tub, red light room, laundry, safe & private outdoor access. Experience true indoor/outdoor living w/custom pool & spa, golf simulator, sport/pickleball court, outdoor BBQ & fireplace, & new landscaping featuring 2 dog runs
20568 N 112th Street
Scottsdale, AZ 85255
$32,000,000
7
Beds
10
Baths
17,267
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6413286
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
A Dream Team Comes Together Like a Symphony to Create a Custom Estate That is a Work of Art, introducing Ellington Heights in Silverleaf''There is no art when one does something without intention.'' -- Duke Ellington.Without a doubt the King of Jazz would consider Ellington Heights--a sleek and stylish gem--a superb work of art. Nestled in the sun-kissed upper canyon of Silverleaf, an exclusive enclave in Scottsdale, Arizona, the design for this magnificent estate collected inspiration from the social, artistic and cultural dynamism of the Roaring Twenties era. Further, the design journey for this modern desert prairie-style home, included finding perfect harmony with its Sonoran surroundings.(see 'more' now)
7265 N 40th Street
Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
$30,600,000
5
Beds
6
Baths
18,000
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6495034
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
Amethyst is the crown jewel of Crown Canyon located at the highest point of the gated Crown Canyon community. This private 5+ acre homesite awaits an architectural masterpiece to capture the most prolific views of Camelback Mountain and downtown city lights. Premier Paradise Valley homebuilder BedBrock Developers, with award-winning in-house architect Stratton Andrews, is prepared to fully design and build your custom dream home on this impressive mountain hillside. To inspire you further, Andrews designed this 18,000-square-foot showcase estate to demonstrate the endless possibilities within the homesite. ''The breathtaking Amethyst property itself ignited the inspiration for this architectural masterpiece. The design flows with the topography, allowing 270-degree views of Camelback
21235 N 102nd Street
Scottsdale, AZ 85255
$29,500,000
6
Beds
8
Baths
14,048
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6485821
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
The Barn at Silverleaf - Discover the ultimate in luxury lifestyle. This awe-inspiring modern interpretation of this Prairie style estate is the result of a two year design effort by renowned architect CP Drewett and a hand selected team of consultants. World class interior design is currently being developed by Claire Ownby, founder of Ownby Design. While the vision is a sophisticated custom estate of just over 14,000 square feet, the functionality is comfortable and inviting. The unique design truly elevates the tenets of desert modernism and resort style living. Perched at the summit of a long private driveway, every area of this three-acre estate has spectacular views and are destinations within themselves. The Barn is horizontal in nature with extremely deep overhangs and a
7620 N Red Ledge Drive
Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
$29,000,000
6
Beds
8.5
Baths
15,500
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6551951
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
A true modern masterpiece for the most discerning buyer. This mountainside estate in the town of Paradise Valley is being designed and built in collaboration with Incline Builders and Architekshon, Inc. The nearly 11.5 acre homesite offers unparalleled views and an extremely unique level of privacy and exclusion within 20 minutes of world class resorts, dining, shopping, Paradise Valley Country Club and both Scottsdale and Phoenix Sky Harbor Airports. The modern design will include a 13,000 sq ft main house and 2500 sq ft guest house. Your dream home awaits with 14 to 20 foot ceilings, large open rooms w/ windows of glass, a gym w/ steam shower & sauna, office, movie theater, wine cellar, 2 pools and 7 car garage.
20958 N 112th Street
Scottsdale, AZ 85255
$28,000,000
7
Beds
8
Baths
13,617
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6375239
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
Welcome to ''The Aerie'', perched high in the McDowell Mountains in Scottdale's most exclusive community of Silverleaf sits this one of a kind masterpiece with unmatched views of the valley below. Thoughtfully designed by Erik Peterson of PHX Architecture and built with the ultimate in perfection by Paragon Custom Homes into a true work of art, this brand new desert contemporary home is an amazing estate. From the open great room which leads to the designer kitchen and hidden catering kitchen to the thoughtfully designed entertainment zone, and the palatial master wing this home has it all. Embodying a true indoor outdoor lifestyle, entertaining spaces flow to the beautiful outdoors all with amazing views of the valley below.
5247 N Invergordon Road
Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
$27,999,999
7
Beds
13
Baths
13,364
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6447698
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
Introducing ''The Royal Chateau'', an exquisitely remodeled estate (completed May 2022)! Boasting 7 bedrooms, 13 bathrooms with sweeping views of Camelback Mountain, this home is sure to please with only the highest level of finishes. The main residence offers nearly 10,000 sf of luxury interior living with 2 separate guest houses. This custom residence includes a custom 600 Bottle Wine Cellar, 7 Car Garages w/ AC, Chef's Kitchen w/ Dual Sinks, custom built-in Subzero Fridge & Freezer, and large walk-in pantry with appliances. Featuring a state-of-the-art home theater, home office with views of Camelback, parlor with wet bar & custom woodwork throughout the entire home. Guests may stay in either of the 2 guest casitas and enjoy the several outdoor entertaining areas throughout the property
5531 E Mockingbird Lane
Paradise Valley, AZ 85253
$27,500,000
8
Beds
11
Baths
20,949
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6534041
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
In most prestigious pocket of Paradise Valley with incredible views of Mummy Mountain lies this clean contemporary compound. Soaring ceilings beaming with natural light from sunrise and sunset peak windows, rift oak cabinets, white oak floors, large butler pantry, dirty kitchen & dual wine wall. In the close to completed basement addition you can watch electric go carts circle the track out of your subterranean lounge. Complete with full movie theater, spa and hair salon, concrete cased hidden gun range, sauna, massage room, space in basement for indoor sport court, 2nd story office w mezzanine, large indoor/outdoor gym, kids playroom, 20 car garage, workshop, football field yard with viewing deck, large pizza oven, outdoor Ramada & full kitchen/ grilling station, pool house, resort style
333 Schnebly Hill Road
Sedona, AZ 86336
$25,000,000
8
Beds
9
Baths
18,762
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6562659
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
Unique opportunity to own over 23 acres as part of Sedona's famous landmark with multi purpose uses which has been an iconic piece of the Sedona community. Current zoning is RS-18 and OC (Oak Creek Heritage-See city Zoning guidelines in documents). Included in eight separate parcels are 3 adjacent lots on OAK CREEK, 2 separate houses each with their own guest house. One residence built in 2007 with 4271 sq. ft. and a 900 sq. ft. guest house. Second residence built in 1997 with 2230 sq. ft. and 805 sq. ft. guest house. Sedona Creative Life Center is a nonprofit 501(c)(3) organization founded in 2000 to celebrate the human spirit and provide an uplifting and nourishing environment for celebrations, spiritually enhancing programs, and personal growth. Their mission is to become a
11269 E Moonlight Canyon --
Scottsdale, AZ 85255
$21,500,000
7
Beds
9
Baths
11,530
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6384286
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
Renowned architect Bing Hu is creating a masterpiece in the Upper Canyon of the prestigious and highly acclaimed Silverleaf community. This 11,530 SF estate is a modern adaptation of the Prairie style of architecture, perfectly situated sitting on the high foothills of the McDowell Mountains with panoramic city lights, mountain and valley views. The superb quality of the finishes and the amenities included are sure to please the most discerning, certainly everything you'd expect in a home of this stature: green building materials and technologies, state of the art automation throughout, Sonos Surround Sound entertainment theater, Gaggenau ''Art of the Kitchen'' custom creation and more. Added opportunity is the GOLF MEMBERSHIP AVAILABLE with this home. Creating a masterpiece
10719 E Rimrock Drive
Scottsdale, AZ 85255
$20,000,000
6
Beds
8
Baths
13,114
SqFt
Status
Active
MLS #
6455254
Property Type
Single Family - Detached
Price Type
--
Immediate occupancy opportunity! Offering Silverleaf Golf Membership and Furnishings. Warm and welcoming, nestled on a flat pad. Home's motor court, detached guest house, front-and-rear yard, are all accessible without elevation changes. Secondary rooms, second wet bar and additional flex rooms offer views. Perched on McDowell Mountains, offering an exclusive 'front row seat experience' of sprawling and vibrant golf course, twinkling city lights, plus captivating near/far mountain views. Flawlessly crafted; meticulously maintained by valley's renowned luxury home builder, Desert Star Construction. This signature address encompasses of over 9 acres; 13,111 square feet of living space to including 1,789 SF 2 bedroom guest home. SEE MOTION VIDEO