What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – December 12, 2016

As 2017 winds down, analysts are forecasting economic developments for 2017. Forbes identified three indicators that the U.S. housing market has recovered. Mortgage rates rose again last week; jobless claims fell and consumer sentiment jumped rose five points. The details:

Housing Market Recovery Complete: Forbes

Three conditions were cited by Forbes as evidence that the housing market has recovered:

Analysts said that homeowners are putting their homes on the market after years of waiting for home prices to peak. On the flip side, mortgage rates are expected to rise further and home buyers may be taking a “now or never” plunge into buying homes before market conditions and mortgage rates combine to make home prices unaffordable.

The Federal Reserve reported that U.S. mortgage debt increased by 1.90 percent in Q3 2016; this was the highest growth rate for mortgage debt since Q3 2008. While population growth and household formation are lower, the overall ratio of mortgage debt to disposable income is near historically low levels. Stricter mortgage qualification standards are keeping home buyers from borrowing mortgage loans that they can’t repay.

After years of high demand for short supplies of available homes, home builders are ramping up construction. Housing starts rose by 25 percent in October and matched construction rates not seen since mid-2007.

Mortgage Rates Rise, New Jobless Claims Dip

Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage rose five basis points to 4.13 percent. The average rate for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage was two basis points higher at 3.36 percent. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage also rose by two basis points to 3.17 percent.

New jobless claims fell last week to 258,000 new claims, which matched expectations and was lower than the prior week’s reading of 268,000 new claims. Job openings held steady in October with a reading of 5.50 million.

What’s Ahead

Next week’s economic calendar includes readings on retail sales and inflation along with the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee Statement and a press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen. The National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index will be released in addition to Commerce Department reports on housing starts and building permits issued. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and new jobless claims will also be released.

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27780 W Ox Ranch Road Congress, AZ 85332

$25,000,000
5 Beds
4 Baths
2,328 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6016821
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The O.X. - Little Horse Ranch is an approximately 95,000 +/- acre ranching operation including the 65,620 +/- acre O.X. farm and ranch including 2,292+/- deeded acres located in the high Sonoran Desert 15 miles North of Wickenburg, AZ and the 29,072 +/- acre Little Horse Ranch located in the pine-covered country along the I-17 freeway beginning 3 miles south of Flagstaff, AZ. The 140-year old O.X. Ranch, which is regarded by many as the finest desert ranch in the Southwest, extends from the town of Congress, AZ, at a 3,000 ft. elevation, to the pine-covered peaks of the Weaver Mountains at almost 6,000 feet. The three perennial streams that converge at the headquarters, together with a spring that produces several hundred gallons of water per minute, a 30ft. water table, and a 13 ACRE LAKE

7620 N Red Ledge Drive Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$20,000,000
9 Beds
14 Baths
18,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6097421
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
EXTRAORDINARY CONTEMPORARY MASTERPIECE BY CP Drewett! UNPARALLELED VIEWS, PRIVACY, AND LOCATION! This spectacular, fully customizable, contemporary build-to-suit home, perfectly situated on a 16.4 acre mountain top Paradise Valley estate lot, presents the most discriminating individual an opportunity to have it all. Located within a guard-gated community, and behind its own private gate, the privileged owner of this extraordinary home will possess a unique level of privacy and seclusion rarely found, especially when considering the area's best fine dining, shopping, and entertainment are within 15 minutes drive, and both the Phoenix Sky Harbor International and Scottsdale Airports are only 20 minutes away. This remarkable property offers two breathtaking building pads. Must Watch Videos

15860 E Rio Verde Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$19,500,000
4 Beds
8 Baths
8,744 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6106214
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
A coveted Modern West lifestyle awaits in the glorious Sonoran Desert at MorDo Ranch. Located just minutes from all the amenities Scottsdale has to offer, this 19-acre horse ranch offers both luxury home living along with superb horse facilities. The main residence, designed after an Argentinian Estancia, displays Kitchell commercial building expertise tailored to a magnificent and welcoming estate home, with open floor plan, private his and her offices, two separate guest suites and intimate entertaining areas. Among the estate grounds are a 10-stall barn, two corrals, and four 5-acre pastures. Closer to the main residence are two managers homes, greenhouse and both pool and tennis court.

41927 N Saguaro Forest Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$16,500,000
5 Beds
5.5 Baths
9,860 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6012791
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The Bacon House at Desert Mountain is a stunning classically modern 9,860 square foot home, designed by Master of the Southwest Architectural Designer Bob Bacon. This south-facing, five-bedroom, open plan home and gallery will be built in Desert Mountain, a secure, gated, private club and recreation-oriented master planned community in Scottsdale, Arizona. The capstone of a storied career, Bacon has created a true masterpiece of livable architectural art destined to be one of the finest homes anywhere; replete with the most advanced technology (including being solar powered) and 5,550 SF of climate-controlled collector's galleries for the safe display of prized possessions such as automobiles, art, or sculpture. A Bacon curated collection of furnishings is also available separately.

New River AZ 85087

$16,000,000
4 Beds
2 Baths
19,161 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5584412
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
AMAZING OPPORTUNITY TO OWN 32 ACRES TOTAL NORTH OF ANTHEM OUTLETS. BORDERS I17 FRONTAGE ROAD. C3 Zoning. Fantastic location. Please DO NOT bother anyone on property. Seller firm at 16 million dollars. Seller will finance! Thank you.

20724 N 112th Street Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$15,600,000
5 Beds
5.5 Baths
12,132 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6111974
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The living is easy in this sophisticated, modern masterpiece located in the Upper Canyon of Silverleaf. Spanning over 12,000 square feet on an elevated lot, this cosmopolitan residence features ever expanding views from all rooms. The sleek, cutting edge kitchen is clad with premium finishes and fixtures including custom Italian Armony cabinets. Walls of glass showcase the views while opening the home to the awe-inspiring upper terrace and outside living space, which can be seen from the kitchen, dining and living room. The lower level is an entertainers dream with a walk-in glass wine cellar, an expansive media/game space, separate home theater and an inside half basketball court. Large covered patios flow to the exquisite outdoor spaces and infinity edge pool.

5335 N Invergordon Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$14,990,000
6 Beds
13 Baths
25,851 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5892742
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
This fabulous gated 25,000 sq ft. estate built in 2013 has views of Camelback Mountain overlooking a beautiful terraced cascading pool + grounds. The residence has exquisite mahogany ceilings and cabinetry, 6 automated pocket doors to the outside, a 2 story high living rm, 2 bedrm master suite w sitting rm 2 master baths + 2 closets. There is a gourmet kitchen w 2 large center islands and marble floors opening to a 1,750 sq ft family rm, an extraordinary two-story library, a 12 seat theatre, wine rm, a lounge bar, 2 offices, an exercise rm with glass steam rm + sauna + an attached guest home.The main rooms: kitchen, master suites, office and library are on the main floor. This home was built to commercial standards. There is also a 25 person elevator, add'l elevator + shooting range.

7004 N Invergordon Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$13,950,000
6 Beds
10 Baths
15,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5716629
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
This sprawling, private appx 5 acre mountainside estate boasts 15,000+ square feet & offers 6 bdrm suites, 10 baths & includes almost every imaginable detail to class & quality one could dream of. Exquisitely appointed with custom light fixtures; beautiful flooring throughout; stone carved Italian marble columns; incredible chef's kitchen; butler pantry; game room; wine tasting room & storage room for 1400+ bottles; custom office; sound proof 12 seat home theater; private gym; oversized pool w/see through viewing area from lower level family/game room; fire pots; a beautiful mountainside waterfall & a separate guest/housekeeper/chef quarters.This estate features incredible indoor/outdoor entertaining with absolutely amazing southern views & some of the best sunrise and sunsets in all of AZ

7046 N 59th Place Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$12,999,998
6 Beds
12.5 Baths
20,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5993139
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Welcome to Bella Paradiso, Paradise Valley's most sophistcated and prestigious estate, situated on the famed Mummy Mountain. This resort like home has unparalleled views of both Camelback Mountain and glistening city lights, reaching all the way from the East Valley to Downtown Phoenix. This remarkable 20,000 square foot property boasts 6 ensuite bedrooms, 13 bathrooms, 7 fireplaces, 4 separate laundry facilities, 3 full bars, a private office, movie theatre, interior basketball court and numerous water features. Nationally recognized interior designer, Jamie Herzlinger, completed this home with state of the art furnishings and design elements hearkening back to the time of the Golden Era. From the dramatic entrance on the grand level with a striking staircase, to the open concept kitchen

5021 E Arabian Way Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$12,950,000
6 Beds
9 Baths
16,083 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5826956
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Timeless Classic Elegant Masterpiece! Surround yourself in complete tranquility and luxury on almost 5 spectacular acres enveloped by mountains, lush grounds and magnificent gardens. This prestigious residence has been masterfully remodeled to be one of the finest estates in Paradise Valley. With over 16,000 square feet comprising 6 bedrooms and 9 bathrooms, this exquisite home boasts a stunning grand entrance, soaring uniquely decorated ceilings, large scale rooms with finest architectural features including sophisticated finishes throughout with details sourced the world over and a floorplan that is formal, yet creates a comfortable and inviting ambience. Other luxury amenities include; formal living and dining rooms, family style great room and open chef's kitchen,

250 Enchanted Way Sedona, AZ 86336

$12,500,000
7 Beds
14 Baths
15,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6091601
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Vista Rossa is a sprawling 10-acre estate that is cradled in the Red Rock mountains of Sedona, Arizona featuring sweeping views and a private, resort-like setting. The scale of this 15,000 square-foot, seven-bedroom and 14-bath home was designed to match the grandeur of the red rocks it borders. Nestled against the Coconino National Forest. Designed by one of Arizona's top builders, Morris Fine Homebuilding, this extraordinary estate was planned specifically for its elevated location and borders the national forest offering residents the ultimate in privacy and recreation.The estate begins with a scenic drive down the 1/4 mile gated and tree-lined entry to the valet-style courtyard with five garages.Perfect for entertaining, the open floor plan includes a two-story great room with

42725 N 102nd Street Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$10,999,999
5 Beds
7.5 Baths
7,579 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6098847
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Opulent CONTEMPORARY 9.91 ACRE ESTATE nestled into a gated, private reserve in Desert Mountain's upper canyon Saguaro Forest. Unparalleled forever Valley-Wide Views, City Lights, Mountains and Sunsets. Disappearing Glass Walls with motorized 45' span onto 1,050sf resort living; Alfresco entertaining overlooking a 25-meter infinity pool, spa, rainfall water feature and a linear fire pit. One-level main home boasts Great Room, Modern Chef's Kitchen, dramatic Wine Wall, Full-Service Wet Bar, Master Retreat, 2 Guest Suites and Executive Office. Guest Wing houses Kitchenette, Media Room, 4 chic Guest Suites (2 on main level) each with private patio. Lower level guest retreat access via floating staircase with 22ft high window wall backdrop or private elevator. New Furnishings Included -Turnkey

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