Home Builder Index Dips in January

January’s National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index dipped two points from December’s revised reading of 69 to 67;  the index reading forecast for January was also 69.Analysts said that January’s reading was the second highest (after December 2016) since the peak of the housing bubble in 2005. January’s dip in builder sentiment was attributed to easing of builder enthusiasm, which spiked right after the U.S. presidential election. To put January’s home builder confidence reading in context, NAHB says that any index reading over 50 indicates that more builders than fewer have confidence in housing market conditions.

NAHB SubIndex Readings for January

Three sub-index readings are used in compiling the NAHB Housing Market Index reading. Builder confidence in current housing market conditions fell three points to 72; builder confidence in housing market conditions over the next six months fell two points to 76. Builder confidence in buyer traffic in new housing developments dropped one point to 51.

Builders surveyed continued to cite the cost of new lots for development and the lack of skilled labor as obstacles to higher builder confidence.

After releasing January’s index readings, the NAHB said that while January’s readings were lower than those for December, a majority of builders have expressed confidence that the new administration will reduce regulatory pressure on home builders. NAHB also cited home builder concerns over mortgage rates, which rose nearly a percentage point in November and December before falling. Despite ongoing concerns, builder sentiment has steadily improved over time. On average, builder confidence averaged a reading of 61 in 2016 against 2015’s average reading of 59 and the 2014 average reading of 52.

Builder Outlook Seen as Key to Easing Home Shortage

Real estate and mortgage pros have consistently said that building more homes is necessary to ease the ongoing shortage of available homes. NAHB’s Housing Market Index is closely followed as a benchmark of home builder confidence. Higher builder confidence in current and future housing market conditions is viewed as a potential indicator of home building activity, but housing starts have not been uniformly allied with builder confidence.

Shortages available homes creates high demand creates concerns for potential buyers seeking affordable homes. Rapidly rising home price, particularly in high demand metro areas, have sidelined buyers who cannot compete against buyers making cash offers on homes with rapidly escalating prices.   For more information give me a call – J.P. Cook – 602-320-4253.

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15860 E Rio Verde Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$55,000,000
9 Beds
7 Baths
14,997 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6471198
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Located on approx. 237 acres on the edge of Scottsdale, this one-of-a-kind property perfectly captures the essence of the Southwest. Stunning 360-degree views combine with the peace and solitude of the Sonoran Desert to create a private oasis while all the best of Scottsdale's amenities are just minutes away. The 8,700 SF main residence is modeled after an Argentinian estancia and is grand, yet comfortable. Additional amenities include a large greenhouse and potting shed, tennis court, pool and shooting range. Additional buildings include a 1,900 SF guest house, a 1,500 SF caretakers' cottage and a 2,800 SF office/art museum. World-class equestrian facilities include a six-stall stable, 16-stall mare motel, numerous corrals, pastures and several outbuildings. Plentiful water with two

20568 N 112th Street Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$32,000,000
7 Beds
10 Baths
17,267 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6413286
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
A Dream Team Comes Together Like a Symphony to Create a Custom Estate That is a Work of Art, introducing Ellington Heights in Silverleaf''There is no art when one does something without intention.'' -- Duke Ellington.Without a doubt the King of Jazz would consider Ellington Heights--a sleek and stylish gem--a superb work of art. Nestled in the sun-kissed upper canyon of Silverleaf, an exclusive enclave in Scottsdale, Arizona, the design for this magnificent estate collected inspiration from the social, artistic and cultural dynamism of the Roaring Twenties era. Further, the design journey for this modern desert prairie-style home, included finding perfect harmony with its Sonoran surroundings.(see 'more' now)

5247 N Invergordon Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$30,000,000
7 Beds
13 Baths
13,364 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6447698
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Introducing ''The Royal Chateau'', an exquisitely remodeled estate (completed May 2022)! Boasting 7 bedrooms, 13 bathrooms with sweeping views of Camelback Mountain, this home is sure to please with only the highest level of finishes. The main residence offers nearly 10,000 sf of luxury interior living with 2 separate guest houses. This custom residence includes a custom 600 Bottle Wine Cellar, 7 Car Garages w/ AC, Chef's Kitchen w/ Dual Sinks, custom built-in Subzero Fridge & Freezer, and large walk-in pantry with appliances. Featuring a state-of-the-art home theater, home office with views of Camelback, parlor with wet bar & custom woodwork throughout the entire home. Guests may stay in either of the 2 guest casitas and enjoy the several outdoor entertaining areas throughout the property

21235 N 102nd Street Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$29,500,000
6 Beds
8 Baths
14,048 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6485821
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
The Barn at Silverleaf - Discover the ultimate in luxury lifestyle. This awe-inspiring modern interpretation of this Prairie style estate is the result of a year- long design effort by renowned architect CP Drewett and a hand selected team of consultants. World class interior design is currently being developed by Claire Ownby, founder of Ownby Design. While the vision is a sophisticated custom estate of just over 14,000 square feet, the functionality is comfortable and inviting. The unique design truly elevates the tenets of desert modernism and resort style living. Perched at the summit of a long private driveway, every area of this three-acre estate has spectacular views and are destinations within themselves. The Barn is horizontal in nature with extremely deep overhangs and a

20958 N 112th Street Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$28,000,000
7 Beds
8 Baths
13,617 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6375239
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Welcome to ''The Aerie'', perched high in the McDowell Mountains in Scottdale's most exclusive community of Silverleaf sits this one of a kind masterpiece with unmatched views of the valley below. Thoughtfully designed by Erik Peterson of PHX Architecture and built with the ultimate in perfection by Paragon Custom Homes into a true work of art, this brand new desert contemporary home is an amazing estate. From the open great room which leads to the designer kitchen and hidden catering kitchen to the thoughtfully designed entertainment zone, and the palatial master wing this home has it all. Embodying a true indoor outdoor lifestyle, entertaining spaces flow to the beautiful outdoors all with amazing views of the valley below.

11235 E Wingspan Way Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$24,220,000
6 Beds
8.5 Baths
11,556 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6362093
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
An artful masterpiece, this stunning estate was recently completed in July of 2021 by Salcito Custom Homes. Grandly positioned on 4.67 acres on one of the best homesites in Silverleaf, this home sits prominently in the iconic ''saddle'' of the Upper Canyon Summit in Silverleaf. Exuding warmth and sophistication with a unique French Modern style and architecture thoughtfully designed by Dale Gardon, this regal home captures the spectacular views of the Silverleaf Golf Course and the Valley throughout the home. The garages are perfect for a car collector with capacity for 11 cars. The superb interiors, designed in collaboration with Rebecca Salcito feature distinctive elements such as a fireplace carved from marble to hand-blown glass chandeliers, custom artwork

6044 N 44th Place Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$22,500,000
4 Beds
7 Baths
10,656 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6378747
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Welcome to this one of a kind single level HILLTOP estate with 360 degree views- As you enter the gated circular drive and approach the spectacular entry foyer you'll be amazed by the height of the ceilings and walls of glass overlooking city & mountain views, resort sized living room, generous use of stone, marble and slab granite throughout, beautiful warm and timeless finishes. formal dining room with city views , complete bar w ice maker/dishwasher, 10 ft burled redwood doors and cabinetry throughout, West Wing features -Powder room, Luxurious primary suite with coffee bar, unreal views, 2 baths with 2 large paneled closets, granite showers, fireplace , study with wood paneled ceilings, bookshelves and workroom, 1000 sq foot gym- w bath & closet- serves as multi purpose,

11269 E Moonlight Canyon -- Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$21,500,000
7 Beds
9 Baths
11,530 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6384286
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Renowned architect Bing Hu is creating a masterpiece in the Upper Canyon of the prestigious and highly acclaimed Silverleaf community. This 11,530 SF estate is a modern adaptation of the Prairie style of architecture, perfectly situated sitting on the high foothills of the McDowell Mountains with panoramic city lights, mountain and valley views. The superb quality of the finishes and the amenities included are sure to please the most discerning, certainly everything you'd expect in a home of this stature: green building materials and technologies, state of the art automation throughout, Sonos Surround Sound entertainment theater, Gaggenau ''Art of the Kitchen'' custom creation and more. Added opportunity is the GOLF MEMBERSHIP AVAILABLE with this home. Creating a masterpiece

10719 E Rimrock Drive Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$21,200,000
6 Beds
8 Baths
13,114 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6455254
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Immediate occupancy opportunity to include a Silverleaf Golf Membership and Furnishings. Warm and welcoming, nestled on a flat pad, not on a steep-driveway or below street-grade. The motor court, detached guest home, front and rear yard, all flow without any elevation changes. Secondary rooms, second wet bar and additional flex rooms live above. Perched on McDowell Mountains, offering an exclusive 'front row seat elevation' to the spectacular sprawling and vibrant golf course, twinkling city lights, plus captivating near/far mountain views. Flawlessly crafted and meticulously maintained by valley's renowned luxury home builder, Desert Star Construction. This signature address encompasses over 9 acres; 13,111 square feet of living space to including 1,789 SF 2 bedroom guest home. SEE VIDEO

5724 E Mockingbird Lane Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$19,999,888
7 Beds
9 Baths
14,801 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6408372
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Experience this incredible brand-new residence, meticulously crafted on 5 acres, which will be one of the most significant estates built in Paradise Valley. This spectacular property will offer a split, single level floor plan, lush & mature manicured grounds, impeccable finishes and design throughout in one of Paradise Valley's most expensive locations! Enjoy the world class amenities, indoor and outdoor lifestyle, pool, spa, ramada, tennis court and never before seen features in a home with the iconic view of Mummy Mountain as the backdrop. Located in the highly desirable 3 C's school district, also featuring a 11 car garage for auto collectors. This is Arizona's most prestigious presale opportunity.

7540 N Red Ledge Drive Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$19,500,000
4 Beds
6.5 Baths
11,500 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6477513
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
This Modern ''Frank Lloyd Wright Inspired'' mountainside estate is being designed and built on the HIGHEST VIEW LOT STILL AVAILABLE IN THE TOWN OF PARADISE VALLEY. The owners, in collaboration with Incline Builders and Architekshon, Inc. have designed a true modern masterpiece for the most discerning buyer. The 5.01 acre homesite offers unparalleled views and an extremely unique level of privacy and exclusion within 20 minutes of world class resorts, dining, shopping, Paradise Valley Country Club and both Scottsdale and Phoenix Sky Harbor Airports. The modern design will include 11,500 square feet of 10 to 12 foot ceilings, large open rooms w/ windows of glass, his & her offices, a gym w/ sauna, movie theater, negative edge pool, pool cabana and 5 car garage. A $2M private driveway....

11264 E Wingspan Way Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$18,500,000
5 Beds
6 Baths
9,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 6463142
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Price Type --
Located in the prestigious Summit neighborhood of Silverleaf, this team of master craftsman, Salcito Custom Homes, Ltd., Salcito Design Group, LLC and PHX Architecture have partnered to create a one-of-a-kind Modern Mediterranean estate. Situated on one of the most private building sites in Silverleaf, this estate boasts a 5.59-acre homesite with a 40,000 square foot building envelope and sits high over the Valley at an elevation of 2,400 ft., capturing stunning city and mountain views. This one-of-a-kind opportunity is fully approved and ready to begin construction. The 9,000 square foot design features five bedrooms and six baths, a 75-foot swimming pool, six car garage, unique skybridge and hand selected finishes that will satisfy the most discriminating buyer.

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