What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 31, 2016

Last week’s economic reports included S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indexes, along with readings on new and pending home sales. Recurring weekly reports on mortgage rates and new jobless claims were also released.

Case-Shiller: Pacific Northwest Shows Fastest Home Price Growth

According to the Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index for August, home prices in Portland, Oregon and Seattle, Washington grew fastest year-over-year. Portland posted an August index reading of 11.70 percent and Portland followed closely with a reading of 11.40 percent. Denver, Colorado rounded out the top three cities with the fastest rates of home price growth with a year-over-year reading of 8.80 percent. The 20-City Home Price Index rose 0.30 percent year-over-year to 5.30 percent in August.

Low inventory of available homes poses challenges for housing markets, but Case-Shiller reported that the national home price index was 0.60 percent lower than its peak reading in 2006. The 20-City Home Price Index was 7.10 percent lower than the 2006 peak. This provides a positive context for healthy home price growth, but concerns linger about a repeat of the housing bubble that burst and caused home prices to crash.

David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the S&P Index Committee said that a new housing bubble is unlikely. Home buyers are not taking out huge mortgages as was common prior to the Great Recession; mortgage lenders have adopted stricter qualification standards to help ensure that borrowers can afford their mortgages.

New Home Sales Rise in September

Sales of new homes rose to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 593,000 sales in September according to the Commerce Department. Although lower than analysts’ expected reading of 600,000 sales, September’s reading surpassed August’s reading of 575,000 sales. August’s reading was downwardly revised from its original reading of 609,000, which suggests that new home prices are growing at a slower rate than expected.

High demand for homes boosted September’s reading for pending home sales, which represents homes under contract for sale that have not closed. Pending home sales increased in September with a reading of 1.50 percent growth as compared to August’s negative rate of -2.50 percent. Pending home sales provide indications of future completed sales and mortgage loan volume.

Mortgage Rates Rise, New Jobless Claims Fall

Mortgage rates were lower last week according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell five basis points to 3.47 percent; rates for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage averaged 2.78 percent, which was one basis point lower than the prior week’s reading. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was also one basis point lower at 2.84 percent. Average discount points were 0.60, 0.50 and 0.40 percent respectively.

In spite of growth in home prices and volume of sales, consumer confidence slowed in October. October’s index reading of 98.60 as compared to an expected reading of 101.00 and September’s reading of 103.50. Analysts said that uncertainty over the upcoming presidential election contributed to October’s lower reading.

What’s Ahead

Next week’s scheduled economic reports include readings on inflation, construction spending core inflation, and labor reports. Non-farm payrolls, ADP employment, national unemployment rates will also be released. Freddie Mac’s mortgage rates report and new jobless claims will also be released.

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18983 N 259th Lane Buckeye, AZ 85396

New

$459,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,569 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6694613

Property Type Single Family Residence

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Better than New, immaculate Hideaway Model with Smart Home Features. 2-bed/2-bath, split floor plan w/ upgraded plank tile flooring and ''leather'' granite countertops. Designer light fixtures & custom window treatments. Open concept living offers plenty of room for dining & entertaining. Extended height, soft close cabinets, SS appliances & walk-in pantry. The spacious primary bedroom has a large bathroom, dual sinks, walk in shower & walk-in closet. Charming guest bedroom w/adjacent bath. Enjoy the beautiful landscape from the extended back patio with privacy wall and pavers. 2 car garage with tandem 4ft extension, great for a golf cart, or additional storage. Additional features: Soft water system, tankless water heater, security door, additional iron fencing with gate access on both sides of the house. Front & backyard pavers & drip system for landscaping. Sun City Festival is an active adult community with plenty of activities. Complete gym, pickleball court, group classes, 27-hole golf course, 2 resort-style pools, onsite rec center, walking trails, and an indoor walking track. Don't miss the opportunity, come see this home today.

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8723 E Sandtrap Court Gold Canyon, AZ 85118

$459,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,812 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6553229

Property Type Townhouse

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Price reduction and seller willing to do below market rate seller financing. Contact agent for details. Welcome to this beautiful 2-bed, 2-bath Townhome in the gated Fairway Views! A paver courtyard and a 2-car garage w/attached cabinets are just the beginning. Inside the previous owner completely remodeled the interior of this home in 2021. New vinyl flooring, interior paint, custom Stone Creek cabinets in kitchen, bathrooms, laundry, and dry bar. New quartz countertops with travertine backsplash, baseboards, doors, custom showers and bathtub, new water heater/RO/water softner and Pella sliding doors. New light fixtures/fans, faucets and supply lines, Whirlpool print resistant appliances, Zephyr wine and beverage cooler with separate temperature settings and lots more! Home has desirable open layout, layered crown molding, a skylight, neutral paint and tons of natural light. Master bedroom has backyard access and an ensuite with dual sinks, travertine step-in shower, & a walk-in closet. Secondary bedroom also includes a private bathroom for added comfort. Enjoy the private backyard offering a covered patio, pavers, built-in BBQ, & exterior fireplace for chilly nights! You MUST see it!

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3007 E Woodland Drive Phoenix, AZ 85048

$459,000

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,242 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6614031

Property Type Single Family Residence

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NEW ROOF March 2024! Welcome to Mountain Park Ranch! This gem won't be around long, so be sure to plan your visit today! The seller has taken great care and added many improvements such as the kitchen renovation in 2017, the master bathroom remodel was completed in 2023, and the exterior was painted in 2020! The property is North/South facing, has an RV gate, is a corner lot and nearby the 202 freeway for an easy commute! The community offers lakes, parks, walking paths, there are multiple community pools nearby, and the house is kitty corner from Vista Canyon Park! There is plenty of shopping nearby such as Trader Joes, Dutch Brothers, Starbucks, Frys grocery store along with plenty of dining options!

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12002 N Rio Vista Drive Sun City, AZ 85351

$459,000

2 Beds

2 Baths

1,999 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6629615

Property Type Single Family Residence

Price Type --

WELCOME HOME TO THIS BEAUTIFULLY REMODELED TWO BEDROOM TWO BATH HOME. LOOKIG FOR AN ENTERTAINER'S KITCHEN BOASTS GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, UPDATED APPLIANCES, INDUCTION STOVE TOP, TONS OF STORAGE, KNOTTY ALDER CABINETS. THE BATHROOMS HAVE BEEN UPDATED WITH BEAUTIFUL WALK IN TILE SHOWERS. ENJOY THE BEAUTIFUL GOLF COURSE VIEWS AND SUNSETS IN YOUR SCREENED IN PATIO. ALL MAJOR TICKET ITEMS HAVE BEEN REPLACED WITHIN THE LAST 3 YEARS.

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