What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 19, 2016

Last week’s economic news included reports on retail sales, inflation, and weekly reports on mortgage rates and new jobless claims.

Retail Sales Slip as Consumer Prices Inch Up

Retail sales dipped into negative territory in August with a reading of -0.30 percent as compared to expectations of -0.10 percent and July’s reading of +0.10 percent. Retail sales excluding auto sales were better at +0.30 percent. Analysts expected a reading of +0.20 percent based on July’s reading of -0.40 percent. August’s negative reading for retail sales was the first negative report since March.

Inflation fared better than retail sales with August’s Consumer Price Index reading at 0.20 percent. Analysts expected a reading of 0.10 percent; July’s reading was flat. Core Consumer Price Index readings for August are less volatile, as the Core CPI does not include readings for food and energy costs. August’s Core CPI reading was 0.30 percent. A reading of 0.20 percent was expected; July’s reading was 0.10 percent. It appears that inflation is creeping upward, but remains well below the Fed’s target reading of 2.0 percent.

Mortgage Rates, New Jobless Claims Rise

Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates across the board last week. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage rose six basis points to 3.50 percent; the average rate for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage rose one basis point to 2.76 percent and the average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage rose one basis point to an average of 2.82 percent. Average discount points were 0.50 for 30 and 15-year fixed rate mortgages and 0.40 percent for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages.

Low mortgage rates have helped home buyers, especially first-time and moderate income buyers, meet affordability challenges. Home prices have risen due to low numbers of available homes and high demand for homes. If mortgage rates continue to rise, fewer buyers will be able to qualify for mortgages and or afford asking prices for available homes.

Next week’s meeting of the Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee is expected to bring news of a Fed decision on raising the target federal funds rate. If the Fed raises its rate, consumer interest rates for mortgages, vehicles and other goods can be expected to increase as well.

Whats Ahead

This week’s economic news includes the NAHB Housing Market Index, Commerce Department reports on housing starts and building permits issued and a Fed Statement at the conclusion of its Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Wednesday. Fed Chair Janet Yellen is also slated to give a press conference after the FOMC statement. The National Association of Realtors will also release a report on sales of previously owned homes.

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10814 E Heritage Court Scottsdale, AZ 85255

$26,000,000
9 Beds
9.5 Baths
14,350 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5835690
Property Type Single Family - Detached
A rare find in the back canyons of Scottsdale's exclusive Silverleaf community is a stunning partnership of modern Mediterranean architecture and true contemporary styling. This 14,350 square foot home sits on two homesites (4+ acres), for the epitome of privacy and true estate quality, while at the same time capturing dramatic and all-encompassing city light and mountain views. The brilliant team of Toronto based architect Wayne Swadron and Salcito Custom Homes recreated this now award winning masterpiece in 2018. Exquisite and sensitive planning, master craftsmanship and the highest quality materials are a consistent theme, delivering both comfort and style:

Paradise Valley AZ 85253

$20,000,000
8 Beds
11 Baths
30,859 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5842130
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Privately gated estate in the heart of Paradise Valley with breathtaking views of Camelback Mountain,the McDowell Mountains, and Four Peaks Range surround this amazing property. Experience exquisitefinishes and rare amenities from exclusive interior designer David Scott and Frank Lloyd Wright trainedexterior architect Vernon Swaback; such as the tranquil Water Room's rounded glass walls andsurrounding exterior water features. Other unique highlights of the main home include an executivehome office, trainer's gym, basketball court with electronic score board, twelve seat grand theater andwine cellar.

8100 N 68th Street Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$18,000,000
5 Beds
7.5 Baths
17,912 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5701342
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Romantic Urban Villa in the heart of Paradise Valley. This palatial Mediterranean estate is a master class in what can be achieved with the worlds finest materials, a renowned team of artisans, and an unlimited budget.Designed by Juan Sandoval following the format of 17th Century Colonial architecture, but with every modern convenience. This magnificent home is unparalleled in its construction quality and architectural precision. Every 2 acre part of this estate was designed and built in over a ten year period. Two spectacular central courtyards. One for gardens and fountains, the other for a stunning 60X60 foot pool. The design of the home guarantees beauty from every room, and a level of security unmatched by even the most advanced technology. DO NOT MISS MOTION VIDEO!

5335 N Invergordon Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$16,950,000
6 Beds
13 Baths
25,851 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5676395
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Simple words cannot describe an estate of this stature. The polished elegance and imposing beauty are what movies are made of, and it's easy to imagine many a movie being filmed in this magnificent showpiece. The rooms are so luxurious and so unique, it's impossible to convey the grandeur without seemingly exaggerating, and to say that this mansion is constructed with quality materials is a massive understatement, as it has been built with commercial standards and engineering that are rarely, if ever, seen in residential construction. If that doesn't get your attention, the 25-person elevator sure will, serving as a focal point so spectacular that it will take your breath away. Impeccable custom design adorns every inch of this palatial residence, including a full home theatre, lavish two

New River AZ 85087

$16,000,000
4 Beds
2 Baths
19,161 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5584412
Property Type Single Family - Detached
AMAZING OPPORTUNITY TO OWN 32 ACRES TOTAL NORTH OF ANTHEM OUTLETS. BORDERS I17 FRONTAGE ROAD. C3 Zoning. Fantastic location. Please DO NOT bother anyone on property. Recent appraisal meets value. Willing to sell 8 Acres South of Nursery separately. Seller will finance! Thank you.

5335 N Wilkinson Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$14,800,000
7 Beds
12 Baths
15,381 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5829139
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Bramasole: Enjoy your own resort! Privacy, luxury & relaxation in the heart of the Valley. Situated on 4.5 acres of lush landscaping boasting over 15,000 SF of elegance featuring a 3,000-bottle wine cellar, chef's kitchen, library, high-tech media room, exercise room, and an oversized 9 car garage! The outdoor oasis rivals any resort. Dip into your beautiful saltwater pool & spa, entertain with seating for 120 of your closest friends while floating in your 150,000 gallon lazy river with a 30 FT water slide, rope swing, splash pad, volleyball court, firepits and putting green. Enjoy your outdoor commercial kitchen, his & her locker rooms and a separate guest house, in addition to a caretakers cottage with an additional garage! Your dream estate awaits YOU...

8055 N Mummy Mountain Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$14,500,000
7 Beds
12 Baths
25,416 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5165200
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Lush, mature landscaping, hand-laid stone walls, and artistic wrought iron accents line the guest drive of this impressive 5-acre Mediterranean estate. Architecturally designed by Erik Peterson and custom built by Desert Star Construction, this magnificent estate boasts 7 bedrooms, 12 bathrooms, a detached 2-bedroom guesthouse, a free-standing 1,800 square foot fitness facility, a tennis court and more than 25,000 square feet of incomparable Arizona living. Showcasing the very best in home entertainment, this grand estate's lower level is comprised of a private theater with tiered seating, ultra modern music room with pro lighting package, a recording studio and a custom-designed instrument showroom.

7004 N Invergordon Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$13,950,000
6 Beds
10 Baths
15,000 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5716629
Property Type Single Family - Detached
This sprawling, private appx 5 acre mountainside estate boasts 15,000+ square feet & offers 6 bdrm suites, 10 baths & includes almost every imaginable detail to class & quality one could dream of. Exquisitely appointed with custom light fixtures; beautiful flooring throughout; stone carved Italian marble columns; incredible chef's kitchen; butler pantry; game room; wine tasting room & storage room for 1400+ bottles; custom office; sound proof 12 seat home theater; private gym; oversized pool w/see through viewing area from lower level family/game room; fire pots; a beautiful mountainside waterfall & a separate guest/housekeeper/chef quarters.This estate features incredible indoor/outdoor entertaining with absolutely amazing southern views & some of the best sunrise and sunsets in all of AZ

5837 N Palo Cristi Road Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$13,400,000
8 Beds
9 Baths
14,458 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5780430
Property Type Single Family - Detached
This masterfully designed and privately gated palatial estate is situated on roughly 5 acres of manicured grounds in PV and offers breathtaking views of the world famous Camelback Mountain's Praying Monk and Piestewa Peak. This majestic one-owner estate underwent a multiple year construction process because of its unrivaled attention to architectural details and handpicked finishes that were inspired from the Versailles in France. From its romanesque water fountains, imported grand staircase, marble fireplace surrounds, polished marble floors, hand carved limestone columns, hand-woven silk wallpapers, coffered ceiling, to gold fixtures and custom cabinetry throughout. click for more supplemental info.

5212 E Exeter Boulevard Phoenix, AZ 85018

$12,950,000
3 Beds
4 Baths
2,553 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5814639
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Completed in 1952, the David and Gladys Wright House is one of three spiral designs realized by Frank Lloyd Wright and is considered to be a precursor to the Guggenheim Museum in New York City. The concrete block home sits on ~5.9 acres in the Arcadia neighborhood of Phx and enjoys sweeping views of Camelback Mountain. The ~2200 SF 3 bdrm main house has been partially updated, but requires additional rehabilitations, including necessary structural and electrical repairs. The offer includes reproductions of the signature ''March Balloons'' carpet designed by Wright for the living room and a dining table and chairs. The ~360 SF 1 bd guest house has been recently restored. An application for Historic Preservation-Landmark status is pending with the City of Phoenix.Offered in AS-Is condition

5021 E Arabian Way Paradise Valley, AZ 85253

$12,950,000
6 Beds
9 Baths
16,083 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5826956
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Timeless Classic Elegant Masterpiece! Surround yourself in complete tranquility and luxury on almost 5 spectacular acres enveloped by mountains, lush grounds and magnificent gardens. This prestigious residence has been masterfully remodeled to be one of the finest estates in Paradise Valley. With over 16,000 square feet comprising 6 bedrooms and 9 bathrooms, this exquisite home boasts a stunning grand entrance, soaring uniquely decorated ceilings, large scale rooms with finest architectural features including sophisticated finishes throughout with details sourced the world over and a floorplan that is formal, yet creates a comfortable and inviting ambience. Other luxury amenities include; formal living and dining rooms, family style great room and open chef's kitchen,

9625 E Aw Tillinghast Road Scottsdale, AZ 85262

$12,500,000
6 Beds
8 Baths
11,250 SqFt
Status Active
MLS # 5689418
Property Type Single Family - Detached
Timeless contemporary estate that was inspired with an unlimited budget, a blank canvas for architectural creativity and a one-of-a-kind site with views of the entire southern horizon. A visionary and profound architectural statement with intersecting radial and linear forms built to commercial construction standards. The pioneering roof design features 'folded plates' of copper that perfectly blend the home into the natural desert surroundings. Interior details include Hope Steel doors, limestone flooring, dry-stacked sandstone fireplace surrounds and custom copper details and trim around every window, doorway and wall. The site provides 270 degree, top-of-the-world sunset, city light and mountain views from 16 hilltop acres at the apex of Lone Mountain in Scottsdale's Desert Mountain.

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