What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 31, 2016

Last week’s economic reports included S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indexes, along with readings on new and pending home sales. Recurring weekly reports on mortgage rates and new jobless claims were also released.

Case-Shiller: Pacific Northwest Shows Fastest Home Price Growth

According to the Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index for August, home prices in Portland, Oregon and Seattle, Washington grew fastest year-over-year. Portland posted an August index reading of 11.70 percent and Portland followed closely with a reading of 11.40 percent. Denver, Colorado rounded out the top three cities with the fastest rates of home price growth with a year-over-year reading of 8.80 percent. The 20-City Home Price Index rose 0.30 percent year-over-year to 5.30 percent in August.

Low inventory of available homes poses challenges for housing markets, but Case-Shiller reported that the national home price index was 0.60 percent lower than its peak reading in 2006. The 20-City Home Price Index was 7.10 percent lower than the 2006 peak. This provides a positive context for healthy home price growth, but concerns linger about a repeat of the housing bubble that burst and caused home prices to crash.

David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the S&P Index Committee said that a new housing bubble is unlikely. Home buyers are not taking out huge mortgages as was common prior to the Great Recession; mortgage lenders have adopted stricter qualification standards to help ensure that borrowers can afford their mortgages.

New Home Sales Rise in September

Sales of new homes rose to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 593,000 sales in September according to the Commerce Department. Although lower than analysts’ expected reading of 600,000 sales, September’s reading surpassed August’s reading of 575,000 sales. August’s reading was downwardly revised from its original reading of 609,000, which suggests that new home prices are growing at a slower rate than expected.

High demand for homes boosted September’s reading for pending home sales, which represents homes under contract for sale that have not closed. Pending home sales increased in September with a reading of 1.50 percent growth as compared to August’s negative rate of -2.50 percent. Pending home sales provide indications of future completed sales and mortgage loan volume.

Mortgage Rates Rise, New Jobless Claims Fall

Mortgage rates were lower last week according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey. The average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell five basis points to 3.47 percent; rates for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage averaged 2.78 percent, which was one basis point lower than the prior week’s reading. The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage was also one basis point lower at 2.84 percent. Average discount points were 0.60, 0.50 and 0.40 percent respectively.

In spite of growth in home prices and volume of sales, consumer confidence slowed in October. October’s index reading of 98.60 as compared to an expected reading of 101.00 and September’s reading of 103.50. Analysts said that uncertainty over the upcoming presidential election contributed to October’s lower reading.

What’s Ahead

Next week’s scheduled economic reports include readings on inflation, construction spending core inflation, and labor reports. Non-farm payrolls, ADP employment, national unemployment rates will also be released. Freddie Mac’s mortgage rates report and new jobless claims will also be released.

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9437 E Spiral Avenue Mesa, AZ 85212

New

$459,990

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,377 SqFt

Status Active

MLS # 6694633

Property Type Single Family Residence

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This adorable cozy home offers 3 large bedrooms with our Roosevelet Premium Palette, including a stainless gas range, dishwasher, and microwave with granite kitchen counters Tile floors in all the main living areas with upgraded carpet in the bedrooms. Many upgrades in plumbing and electrical bring this homes design together for a lovely home to move into. This home also offers a large four panel slider to the back patio. Stop by today to see why Eastmark is the #1 place to call home.

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11230 W Marguerite Avenue Tolleson, AZ 85353

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$459,990

4 Beds

3 Baths

2,192 SqFt

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MLS # 6695667

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Below Market Financing Available!!!!!!!!!!! This single-story home features three secondary bedrooms off of the foyer, one with its own en-suite bathroom making it ideal for guests. The open layout encompasses the kitchen, dining and Great Room creating a spacious living area. Off the Great Room is the owner's suite which boasts a spa-inspired bathroom with a large walk-in closet. The covered courtyard and rear covered patio provide plenty of outdoor living opportunities. Photos are renderings of a model home, not the actual home.

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41090 W Haley Drive Maricopa, AZ 85138

$459,990

3 Beds

2 Baths

1,987 SqFt

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MLS # 6594869

Property Type Single Family Residence

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QUICK MOVE-IN!!! It's our beautiful Belice - 3 bedrooms + flex space, 2 baths and a 3 car tandem garage. 12'x8' sliding glass door off the extended covered patio. Large walk in shower at owner's bath with EMS Casino Ice gloss in a 4x16 tile at shower surrounds . Stainless steel gas appliance package with undermount single bowl sink. Winstead Maple ''Cafe'' stained cabinets through out the home with 42'' kitchen uppers and rollouts at pantry. Himalaya white granite countertops in kitchen and on the enhanced kitchen island. Kitchen backsplash has a 4x16 Ice Matte tile. Flooring includes EMS 12x24 Baccarat Astra tile in all the areas of the home except beds/closets. Dual sinks at bath 2. Two-tone interior paint ''Agreeable Gray'', soft water loop and so much more. Seller to write contract and to verify all information with onsite agents. Water Company is Santa Cruz Water Company and Sewer is Palo Verde Utilities Company.

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1263 E Palo Verde Drive Casa Grande, AZ 85122

$459,990

5 Beds

3 Baths

2,549 SqFt

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MLS # 6637959

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If you're looking for a ranch style, true 5 bedroom split floorplan, in Casa Grande, AZ then look no further! This home, built in 2018, consists of 5 bedrooms, 3 full bathrooms, a 2 car garage and sits on a corner lot 8,448 sqft in size. It has a very spacious backyard with lots of citrus trees and even a large covered patio for those fall, winter and spring nights you may want to enjoy the Arizona weather. This home has had only one owner and has been kept in meticulous condition. There is surround sound throughout and even a multi-camera owned security system and it's all located within the Cottonwood Ranch community of Casa Grande.

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